Türkiye Kupası · Wednesday, 28 Oct 2026
Fatih Karagümrük
Home
0-0
Full time
Venue TBC
Somaspor
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.84
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.95 - 1.09
Win probability
Home
52%
Draw
21%
Away
27%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
51%
1.84
Double Chance
Home/Away
78%
1.21
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
63%
1.49
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
61%
1.54
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
73%
1.29
Goals & trends
63%
Over 2.5
61%
BTTS
73%
Over 1.5
3.04
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Fatih Karagümrük wins
0
Draws
0
Somaspor wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
46%
Recent form
20%
40%
Attack
46%
73%
Defence
6%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
52%
Win probability
27%
Home and away record
Fatih Karagümrük
last 6 at home
2W
3D
1L
1.50
points a game
1.33
scored a game
1.17
conceded a game
Somaspor
last 3 away from home
1W
0D
2L
1.00
points a game
1.33
scored a game
2.67
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Fatih Karagümrük | Somaspor | |
|---|---|---|
| 90% 9/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 7/7 100% |
| 30% 3/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 7/7 100% |
| 10% 1/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 5/7 71% |
| 70% 7/10 | Both teams scored | 6/7 86% |
| 20% 2/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 0/7 0% |
| 10% 1/10 | Failed to score | 1/7 14% |
At half time
Fatih Karagümrük
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
40%
Level
30%
Behind
30%
Somaspor
from 7 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
14%
Level
43%
Behind
43%
Match Preview & Analysis
Fatih Karagümrük face Somaspor in Türkiye Kupası. Fatih Karagümrük have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 6 and conceding 4 (1.4 points per game). Somaspor have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 14 (0.6 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 63% and Both Teams to Score at 61%.
With a 52% probability backing Fatih Karagümrük, home advantage and superior chance creation make Fatih Karagümrük to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 52% win probability for Fatih Karagümrük, a 21% chance of a draw, and a 27% probability for Somaspor. Our top recommended betting pick is Fatih Karagümrük Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.04 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 61% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Wednesday, 28 Oct 2026 at 12:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Türkiye Kupası.
