1st Division · Wednesday, 28 Oct 2026
Pogradeci
Home
0-0
Full time
Venue TBC
Oriku
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.27
Predicted score
3 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.96 - 0.5
Win probability
Home
94%
Draw
2%
Away
0%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
74%
1.27
Double Chance
No tip for this market.
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
69%
1.36
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
70%
1.34
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
75%
1.25
Goals & trends
69%
Over 2.5
30%
BTTS
75%
Over 1.5
3.46
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Pogradeci wins
0
Draws
0
Oriku wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
60%
Recent form
6%
86%
Attack
20%
73%
Defence
33%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
94%
Win probability
5%
Home and away record
Pogradeci
last 4 at home
2W
2D
0L
2.00
points a game
2.75
scored a game
0.75
conceded a game
Oriku
last 4 away from home
0W
1D
3L
0.25
points a game
0.25
scored a game
2.25
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
8 matches.
| Pogradeci | Oriku | |
|---|---|---|
| 75% 6/8 | Over 1.5 goals | 6/8 75% |
| 63% 5/8 | Over 2.5 goals | 4/8 50% |
| 38% 3/8 | Over 3.5 goals | 2/8 25% |
| 38% 3/8 | Both teams scored | 4/8 50% |
| 63% 5/8 | Kept a clean sheet | 0/8 0% |
| 25% 2/8 | Failed to score | 4/8 50% |
At half time
Pogradeci
from 8 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
38%
Level
63%
Behind
0%
Oriku
from 7 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
57%
Behind
43%
Match Preview & Analysis
Pogradeci face Oriku in 1st Division. Pogradeci have won 2, drawn 3 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 13 and conceding 4 (1.8 points per game). Oriku have won 0, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 5 games, scoring 3 and conceding 10 (0.2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 69% and Both Teams to Score at 30%.
With a 94% probability backing Pogradeci, home advantage and superior chance creation make Pogradeci to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 3-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 94% win probability for Pogradeci, a 2% chance of a draw, and a 0% probability for Oriku. Our top recommended betting pick is Pogradeci Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 3 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.46 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 30%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Wednesday, 28 Oct 2026 at 12:30 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the 1st Division.
