Cup · Wednesday, 28 Oct 2026
FC Orenburg
Home
2-1
Full time
Gazovik Stadium
Rodina Moskva
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.32
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.81 - 0.57
Win probability
Home
88%
Draw
5%
Away
3%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
71%
1.32
Double Chance
No tip for this market.
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
72%
1.31
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
72%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.38
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
1
FC Orenburg wins
1
Draws
0
Rodina Moskva wins
19 Oct 2026
Rodina Moskva
2 - 2
FC Orenburg
18 Aug 2026
Rodina Moskva
1 - 4
FC Orenburg
Why this prediction
86%
Recent form
26%
93%
Attack
46%
66%
Defence
20%
50%
Head-to-head
5%
88%
Win probability
5%
Home and away record
FC Orenburg
last 8 at home
3W
4D
1L
1.63
points a game
1.63
scored a game
1.25
conceded a game
Rodina Moskva
last 8 away from home
2W
0D
6L
0.75
points a game
1.00
scored a game
2.13
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| FC Orenburg | Rodina Moskva | |
|---|---|---|
| 70% 7/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 9/10 90% |
| 50% 5/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 7/10 70% |
| 50% 5/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 4/10 40% |
| 50% 5/10 | Both teams scored | 6/10 60% |
| 30% 3/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/10 10% |
| 30% 3/10 | Failed to score | 3/10 30% |
At half time
FC Orenburg
from 8 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
50%
Level
38%
Behind
13%
Rodina Moskva
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
20%
Level
50%
Behind
30%
Match Preview & Analysis
FC Orenburg face Rodina Moskva in Cup. FC Orenburg have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 14 and conceding 5 (2.6 points per game). Rodina Moskva have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 12 (0.8 points per game).
In their last 2 meetings on record, FC Orenburg won 1, Rodina Moskva won 0 and 1 ended level. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 72% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 88% probability backing FC Orenburg, home advantage and superior chance creation make FC Orenburg to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 88% win probability for FC Orenburg, a 5% chance of a draw, and a 3% probability for Rodina Moskva. Our top recommended betting pick is FC Orenburg Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.38 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Wednesday, 28 Oct 2026 at 13:00 (East Africa Time) at Gazovik Stadium as part of the Cup.
