Ligi kuu Bara · Thursday, 29 Oct 2026
Fountain Gate
Home
0-1
Full time
Kwaraa Stadium
Simba
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 1.36
Predicted score
0 - 2
Goal expectancy (xG)
0.77 - 2.37
Win probability
Home
3%
Draw
11%
Away
85%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
69%
1.36
Double Chance
No tip for this market.
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
63%
1.49
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
69%
1.36
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
37%
BTTS
69%
Over 1.5
3.14
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Fountain Gate wins
0
Draws
0
Simba wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
20%
Recent form
86%
26%
Attack
95%
53%
Defence
86%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
5%
Win probability
85%
Home and away record
Fountain Gate
last 7 at home
2W
1D
4L
1.00
points a game
1.00
scored a game
1.57
conceded a game
Simba
last 8 away from home
7W
1D
0L
2.75
points a game
2.13
scored a game
0.50
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Fountain Gate | Simba | |
|---|---|---|
| 80% 8/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 8/10 80% |
| 30% 3/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 5/10 50% |
| 10% 1/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 3/10 30% |
| 50% 5/10 | Both teams scored | 4/10 40% |
| 10% 1/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 6/10 60% |
| 40% 4/10 | Failed to score | 1/10 10% |
At half time
Fountain Gate
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
20%
Level
50%
Behind
30%
Simba
from 7 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
57%
Level
29%
Behind
14%
Match Preview & Analysis
Fountain Gate face Simba in Ligi kuu Bara. Fountain Gate have won 0, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 4 and conceding 7 (0.6 points per game). Simba have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 17 and conceding 2 (2.6 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 37%.
Simba's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 85% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for Simba to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 0-2, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 3% win probability for Fountain Gate, a 11% chance of a draw, and a 85% probability for Simba. Our top recommended betting pick is Simba Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 0 - 2, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.14 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 37%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Thursday, 29 Oct 2026 at 13:15 (East Africa Time) at Kwaraa Stadium as part of the Ligi kuu Bara.
