National Soccer League · Wednesday, 28 Oct 2026
Police
Home
0-1
Full time
Venue TBC
Al Merreikh
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 1.84
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
0.99 - 1.62
Win probability
Home
12%
Draw
37%
Away
51%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
51%
1.84
Double Chance
Draw/Away
86%
1.09
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
72%
1.31
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
69%
1.36
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
28%
Over 2.5
31%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.61
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Police wins
0
Draws
0
Al Merreikh wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
53%
Recent form
66%
40%
Attack
20%
80%
Defence
93%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
12%
Win probability
51%
Home and away record
Police
last 8 at home
3W
2D
3L
1.38
points a game
1.13
scored a game
1.38
conceded a game
Al Merreikh
last 3 away from home
1W
1D
1L
1.33
points a game
0.33
scored a game
0.33
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Police | Al Merreikh | |
|---|---|---|
| 60% 6/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 0/5 0% |
| 40% 4/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 0/5 0% |
| 20% 2/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 0/5 0% |
| 30% 3/10 | Both teams scored | 0/5 0% |
| 60% 6/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 4/5 80% |
| 50% 5/10 | Failed to score | 2/5 40% |
At half time
Police
from 9 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
11%
Level
67%
Behind
22%
Al Merreikh
from 5 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
20%
Level
60%
Behind
20%
Match Preview & Analysis
Police face Al Merreikh in National Soccer League. Police have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 6 and conceding 3 (1.6 points per game). Al Merreikh have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 3 and conceding 1 (2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 28% and Both Teams to Score at 31%.
Al Merreikh's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 51% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for Al Merreikh to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 12% win probability for Police, a 37% chance of a draw, and a 51% probability for Al Merreikh. Our top recommended betting pick is Al Merreikh Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.61 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 31%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Wednesday, 28 Oct 2026 at 13:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the National Soccer League.
