Third League - Southwest · Wednesday, 28 Oct 2026
Belasitsa
Home
4-1
Full time
Stadion Tsar Samuil
Chavdar Etropole
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.65
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.21 - 0.92
Win probability
Home
63%
Draw
17%
Away
19%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
57%
1.65
Double Chance
No tip for this market.
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
68%
1.38
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
62%
1.52
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
75%
1.25
Goals & trends
68%
Over 2.5
62%
BTTS
75%
Over 1.5
3.13
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Belasitsa wins
0
Draws
0
Chavdar Etropole wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
13%
Recent form
46%
20%
Attack
26%
53%
Defence
40%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
63%
Win probability
19%
Home and away record
Belasitsa
last 7 at home
2W
0D
5L
0.86
points a game
1.57
scored a game
2.14
conceded a game
Chavdar Etropole
last 6 away from home
0W
1D
5L
0.17
points a game
0.33
scored a game
2.83
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Belasitsa | Chavdar Etropole | |
|---|---|---|
| 70% 7/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 8/10 80% |
| 50% 5/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 8/10 80% |
| 20% 2/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 6/10 60% |
| 60% 6/10 | Both teams scored | 6/10 60% |
| 10% 1/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 2/10 20% |
| 40% 4/10 | Failed to score | 3/10 30% |
At half time
Belasitsa
from 8 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
38%
Behind
63%
Chavdar Etropole
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
20%
Level
30%
Behind
50%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 |
Belasitsa |
16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | -1 | 21 |
| 16 |
Chavdar Etropole |
16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | -17 | 17 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Belasitsa face Chavdar Etropole in Third League - Southwest. Belasitsa have won 0, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 3 and conceding 7 (0.4 points per game). Chavdar Etropole have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 4 and conceding 9 (1.4 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 68% and Both Teams to Score at 62%.
With a 63% probability backing Belasitsa, home advantage and superior chance creation make Belasitsa to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 63% win probability for Belasitsa, a 17% chance of a draw, and a 19% probability for Chavdar Etropole. Our top recommended betting pick is Belasitsa Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.13 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 62% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Wednesday, 28 Oct 2026 at 12:00 (East Africa Time) at Stadion Tsar Samuil as part of the Third League - Southwest.
