Third League - Southwest · Wednesday, 28 Oct 2026
FK Minyor Pernik
Home
3-0
Full time
Stadion Minyor
Kostinbrod
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.49
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.48 - 0.68
Win probability
Home
74%
Draw
17%
Away
8%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
63%
1.49
Double Chance
No tip for this market.
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
67%
1.40
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
67%
Over 1.5
3.16
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
FK Minyor Pernik wins
0
Draws
0
Kostinbrod wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
66%
Recent form
80%
73%
Attack
93%
80%
Defence
86%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
74%
Win probability
8%
Home and away record
FK Minyor Pernik
last 8 at home
5W
1D
2L
2.00
points a game
2.38
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Kostinbrod
last 6 away from home
3W
0D
3L
1.50
points a game
1.00
scored a game
0.83
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| FK Minyor Pernik | Kostinbrod | |
|---|---|---|
| 80% 8/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 6/10 60% |
| 50% 5/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 6/10 60% |
| 20% 2/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 4/10 40% |
| 40% 4/10 | Both teams scored | 4/10 40% |
| 60% 6/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 4/10 40% |
| 20% 2/10 | Failed to score | 2/10 20% |
At half time
FK Minyor Pernik
from 8 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
38%
Level
63%
Behind
0%
Kostinbrod
from 8 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
38%
Level
38%
Behind
25%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
FK Minyor Pernik |
16 | 12 | 3 | 1 | +28 | 39 |
| 6 |
Kostinbrod |
15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | +4 | 22 |
Match Preview & Analysis
FK Minyor Pernik face Kostinbrod in Third League - Southwest. FK Minyor Pernik have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 11 and conceding 3 (2 points per game). Kostinbrod have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 14 and conceding 2 (2.4 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 74% probability backing FK Minyor Pernik, home advantage and superior chance creation make FK Minyor Pernik to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 74% win probability for FK Minyor Pernik, a 17% chance of a draw, and a 8% probability for Kostinbrod. Our top recommended betting pick is FK Minyor Pernik Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.16 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Wednesday, 28 Oct 2026 at 12:00 (East Africa Time) at Stadion Minyor as part of the Third League - Southwest.
