Limited match data: this preview is still updating and is not promoted in search until enough form, standings and prediction evidence is available.
Cup · Wednesday, 28 Oct 2026
Kapaz
Home
3-1
Full time
Ganja City Stadium
Baku Sportinq
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.29
Predicted score
3 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.88 - 0.54
Win probability
Home
91%
Draw
7%
Away
2%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
73%
1.29
Double Chance
No tip for this market.
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
61%
1.54
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
66%
1.42
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
72%
1.31
Goals & trends
61%
Over 2.5
34%
BTTS
72%
Over 1.5
3.42
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Kapaz wins
0
Draws
0
Baku Sportinq wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
73%
Recent form
5%
46%
Attack
20%
80%
Defence
6%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
91%
Win probability
5%
Home and away record
Kapaz
last 6 at home
3W
2D
1L
1.83
points a game
1.17
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Baku Sportinq
last 3 away from home
0W
0D
3L
0.00
points a game
0.67
scored a game
3.33
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
8 matches.
| Kapaz | Baku Sportinq | |
|---|---|---|
| 75% 6/8 | Over 1.5 goals | 5/6 83% |
| 25% 2/8 | Over 2.5 goals | 4/6 67% |
| 13% 1/8 | Over 3.5 goals | 2/6 33% |
| 50% 4/8 | Both teams scored | 2/6 33% |
| 50% 4/8 | Kept a clean sheet | 0/6 0% |
| 0% 0/8 | Failed to score | 4/6 67% |
At half time
Kapaz
from 8 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
13%
Level
63%
Behind
25%
Baku Sportinq
from 6 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
33%
Behind
67%
Match Preview & Analysis
Kapaz face Baku Sportinq in Cup. Kapaz have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 3 (2.2 points per game). Baku Sportinq have won 0, drawn 0 and lost 5 of their last 5 games, scoring 3 and conceding 14 (0 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 61% and Both Teams to Score at 34%.
With a 91% probability backing Kapaz, home advantage and superior chance creation make Kapaz to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 3-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 91% win probability for Kapaz, a 7% chance of a draw, and a 2% probability for Baku Sportinq. Our top recommended betting pick is Kapaz Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 3 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.42 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 34%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Wednesday, 28 Oct 2026 at 15:00 (East Africa Time) at Ganja City Stadium as part of the Cup.
