Ligi kuu Bara · Wednesday, 28 Oct 2026
Azam
Home
4-0
Full time
Azam Complex Stadium
Mbeya City
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.34
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.79 - 0.57
Win probability
Home
87%
Draw
10%
Away
3%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
70%
1.34
Double Chance
No tip for this market.
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
65%
1.45
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
69%
1.36
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
35%
BTTS
69%
Over 1.5
3.36
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Azam wins
0
Draws
0
Mbeya City wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
66%
Recent form
26%
40%
Attack
26%
80%
Defence
53%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
87%
Win probability
5%
Home and away record
Azam
last 6 at home
5W
0D
1L
2.50
points a game
1.50
scored a game
0.67
conceded a game
Mbeya City
last 8 away from home
3W
3D
2L
1.50
points a game
1.00
scored a game
0.63
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Azam | Mbeya City | |
|---|---|---|
| 90% 9/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 7/10 70% |
| 30% 3/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 3/10 30% |
| 10% 1/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 1/10 10% |
| 50% 5/10 | Both teams scored | 3/10 30% |
| 40% 4/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 5/10 50% |
| 10% 1/10 | Failed to score | 4/10 40% |
At half time
Azam
from 9 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
33%
Level
56%
Behind
11%
Mbeya City
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
20%
Level
50%
Behind
30%
Match Preview & Analysis
Azam face Mbeya City in Ligi kuu Bara. Azam have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 6 and conceding 3 (2 points per game). Mbeya City have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 4 and conceding 7 (0.8 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 35%.
With a 87% probability backing Azam, home advantage and superior chance creation make Azam to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 87% win probability for Azam, a 10% chance of a draw, and a 3% probability for Mbeya City. Our top recommended betting pick is Azam Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.36 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 35%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Wednesday, 28 Oct 2026 at 15:30 (East Africa Time) at Azam Complex Stadium as part of the Ligi kuu Bara.
