Meistriliiga · Wednesday, 28 Oct 2026
Vaprus
Home
1-1
Full time
Parnu Rannastaadion
Kuressaare
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 1.96
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.47 - 1.53
Win probability
Home
32%
Draw
21%
Away
47%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
48%
1.96
Double Chance
Home/Away
78%
1.21
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
65%
1.45
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
63%
1.49
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
74%
1.27
Goals & trends
65%
Over 2.5
63%
BTTS
74%
Over 1.5
3
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
1
Vaprus wins
1
Draws
0
Kuressaare wins
29 Aug 2026
Kuressaare
2 - 2
Vaprus
26 Jun 2026
Vaprus
1 - 0
Kuressaare
Why this prediction
13%
Recent form
60%
53%
Attack
46%
13%
Defence
66%
50%
Head-to-head
5%
32%
Win probability
47%
Home and away record
Vaprus
last 8 at home
4W
3D
1L
1.88
points a game
2.00
scored a game
1.25
conceded a game
Kuressaare
last 8 away from home
3W
1D
4L
1.25
points a game
1.75
scored a game
1.38
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Vaprus | Kuressaare | |
|---|---|---|
| 90% 9/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 7/10 70% |
| 70% 7/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 5/10 50% |
| 70% 7/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 5/10 50% |
| 60% 6/10 | Both teams scored | 4/10 40% |
| 10% 1/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 3/10 30% |
| 30% 3/10 | Failed to score | 4/10 40% |
At half time
Vaprus
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
20%
Level
30%
Behind
50%
Kuressaare
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
30%
Level
30%
Behind
40%
Match Preview & Analysis
Vaprus face Kuressaare in Meistriliiga. Vaprus have won 0, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 8 and conceding 13 (0.4 points per game). Kuressaare have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 5 (1.8 points per game).
In their last 2 meetings on record, Vaprus won 1, Kuressaare won 0 and 1 ended level. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 65% and Both Teams to Score at 63%.
Kuressaare's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 47% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for Kuressaare to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 32% win probability for Vaprus, a 21% chance of a draw, and a 47% probability for Kuressaare. Our top recommended betting pick is Kuressaare Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 63% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Wednesday, 28 Oct 2026 at 16:00 (East Africa Time) at Parnu Rannastaadion as part of the Meistriliiga.
