Premier League · Wednesday, 28 Oct 2026
KCCA
Home
2-1
Full time
MTN Omondi Stadium
Lugazi
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.71
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.12 - 0.74
Win probability
Home
59%
Draw
30%
Away
11%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
55%
1.71
Double Chance
No tip for this market.
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
68%
1.38
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
66%
1.42
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
32%
Over 2.5
34%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.86
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
KCCA wins
0
Draws
0
Lugazi wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
66%
Recent form
33%
26%
Attack
6%
86%
Defence
66%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
59%
Win probability
11%
Home and away record
KCCA
last 2 at home
1W
0D
1L
1.50
points a game
0.50
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Lugazi
last 3 away from home
1W
0D
2L
1.00
points a game
0.67
scored a game
2.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
7 matches.
| KCCA | Lugazi | |
|---|---|---|
| 50% 3/6 | Over 1.5 goals | 4/7 57% |
| 0% 0/6 | Over 2.5 goals | 3/7 43% |
| 0% 0/6 | Over 3.5 goals | 1/7 14% |
| 0% 0/6 | Both teams scored | 2/7 29% |
| 67% 4/6 | Kept a clean sheet | 3/7 43% |
| 50% 3/6 | Failed to score | 4/7 57% |
At half time
KCCA
from 6 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
17%
Level
67%
Behind
17%
Lugazi
from 7 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
100%
Behind
0%
Match Preview & Analysis
KCCA face Lugazi in Premier League. KCCA have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 4 and conceding 2 (2 points per game). Lugazi have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 1 and conceding 5 (1 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 32% and Both Teams to Score at 34%.
With a 59% probability backing KCCA, home advantage and superior chance creation make KCCA to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 59% win probability for KCCA, a 30% chance of a draw, and a 11% probability for Lugazi. Our top recommended betting pick is KCCA Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.86 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 34%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Wednesday, 28 Oct 2026 at 13:00 (East Africa Time) at MTN Omondi Stadium as part of the Premier League.
