Coppa Italia Serie C · Wednesday, 28 Oct 2026
Spezia
Home
2-1
Full time
Stadio Alberto Picco
Livorno
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.42
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.6 - 0.63
Win probability
Home
79%
Draw
15%
Away
6%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
66%
1.42
Double Chance
No tip for this market.
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
60%
1.57
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
67%
1.40
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
40%
BTTS
67%
Over 1.5
3.23
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
1
Spezia wins
0
Draws
0
Livorno wins
12 Sep 2026
Spezia
2 - 0
Livorno
Why this prediction
86%
Recent form
20%
53%
Attack
46%
86%
Defence
40%
95%
Head-to-head
5%
79%
Win probability
6%
Home and away record
Spezia
last 7 at home
6W
1D
0L
2.71
points a game
2.29
scored a game
0.43
conceded a game
Livorno
last 6 away from home
0W
4D
2L
0.67
points a game
0.50
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Spezia | Livorno | |
|---|---|---|
| 70% 7/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 6/10 60% |
| 40% 4/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 3/10 30% |
| 10% 1/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 2/10 20% |
| 30% 3/10 | Both teams scored | 5/10 50% |
| 70% 7/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 3/10 30% |
| 0% 0/10 | Failed to score | 4/10 40% |
At half time
Spezia
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
40%
Level
50%
Behind
10%
Livorno
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
20%
Level
60%
Behind
20%
Match Preview & Analysis
Spezia face Livorno in Coppa Italia Serie C. Spezia have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 8 and conceding 2 (2.6 points per game). Livorno have won 0, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 9 (0.6 points per game).
In their last 1 meeting on record, Spezia won 1, Livorno won 0 and 0 ended level. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 40%.
With a 79% probability backing Spezia, home advantage and superior chance creation make Spezia to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 79% win probability for Spezia, a 15% chance of a draw, and a 6% probability for Livorno. Our top recommended betting pick is Spezia Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.23 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 40%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Wednesday, 28 Oct 2026 at 17:00 (East Africa Time) at Stadio Alberto Picco as part of the Coppa Italia Serie C.
