Ligi kuu Bara · Wednesday, 28 Oct 2026
Coastal Union
Home
1-0
Full time
Mkwakwani Stadium
Kagera Sugar
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.59
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.28 - 0.85
Win probability
Home
66%
Draw
18%
Away
16%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
59%
1.59
Double Chance
No tip for this market.
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
62%
1.52
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
73%
1.29
Goals & trends
62%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
73%
Over 1.5
3.13
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Coastal Union wins
0
Draws
0
Kagera Sugar wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
60%
Recent form
33%
40%
Attack
33%
60%
Defence
60%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
66%
Win probability
16%
Home and away record
Coastal Union
last 7 at home
3W
1D
3L
1.43
points a game
0.86
scored a game
1.14
conceded a game
Kagera Sugar
last 4 away from home
1W
0D
3L
0.75
points a game
1.50
scored a game
2.50
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Coastal Union | Kagera Sugar | |
|---|---|---|
| 70% 7/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 8/9 89% |
| 50% 5/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 3/9 33% |
| 10% 1/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 2/9 22% |
| 60% 6/10 | Both teams scored | 6/9 67% |
| 10% 1/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 0/9 0% |
| 30% 3/10 | Failed to score | 3/9 33% |
At half time
Coastal Union
from 9 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
33%
Level
56%
Behind
11%
Kagera Sugar
from 9 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
22%
Level
44%
Behind
33%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 |
Coastal Union |
10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 13 |
| 16 |
Kagera Sugar |
10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | -9 | 6 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Coastal Union face Kagera Sugar in Ligi kuu Bara. Coastal Union have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 6 and conceding 6 (1.8 points per game). Kagera Sugar have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 6 (1 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 62% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 66% probability backing Coastal Union, home advantage and superior chance creation make Coastal Union to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 66% win probability for Coastal Union, a 18% chance of a draw, and a 16% probability for Kagera Sugar. Our top recommended betting pick is Coastal Union Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.13 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Wednesday, 28 Oct 2026 at 18:00 (East Africa Time) at Mkwakwani Stadium as part of the Ligi kuu Bara.
