DBU Pokalen · Wednesday, 28 Oct 2026
Roskilde
Home
1-2
Full time
Venue TBC
Aarhus
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.71
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.12 - 1.01
Win probability
Home
59%
Draw
18%
Away
23%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
55%
1.71
Double Chance
No tip for this market.
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
68%
1.38
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
64%
1.47
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
75%
1.25
Goals & trends
68%
Over 2.5
64%
BTTS
75%
Over 1.5
3.13
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Roskilde wins
0
Draws
0
Aarhus wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
86%
Recent form
53%
95%
Attack
46%
73%
Defence
73%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
59%
Win probability
23%
Home and away record
Roskilde
last 8 at home
4W
4D
0L
2.00
points a game
2.38
scored a game
0.88
conceded a game
Aarhus
last 8 away from home
1W
2D
5L
0.63
points a game
1.50
scored a game
1.75
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Roskilde | Aarhus | |
|---|---|---|
| 90% 9/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 9/10 90% |
| 70% 7/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 6/10 60% |
| 50% 5/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 3/10 30% |
| 50% 5/10 | Both teams scored | 7/10 70% |
| 50% 5/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/10 10% |
| 0% 0/10 | Failed to score | 2/10 20% |
At half time
Roskilde
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
60%
Level
30%
Behind
10%
Aarhus
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
40%
Level
30%
Behind
30%
Match Preview & Analysis
Roskilde face Aarhus in DBU Pokalen. Roskilde have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 17 and conceding 4 (2.6 points per game). Aarhus have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 4 (1.6 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 68% and Both Teams to Score at 64%.
With a 59% probability backing Roskilde, home advantage and superior chance creation make Roskilde to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 59% win probability for Roskilde, a 18% chance of a draw, and a 23% probability for Aarhus. Our top recommended betting pick is Roskilde Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.13 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 64% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Wednesday, 28 Oct 2026 at 19:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the DBU Pokalen.
