WSL Cup · Wednesday, 28 Oct 2026
Aston Villa W
Home
1-1
Full time
Keys Park
Birmingham City W
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.36
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.72 - 0.63
Win probability
Home
84%
Draw
9%
Away
6%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
69%
1.36
Double Chance
No tip for this market.
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
69%
1.36
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
76%
1.24
Goals & trends
69%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
76%
Over 1.5
3.35
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Aston Villa W wins
0
Draws
0
Birmingham City W wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
86%
Recent form
46%
73%
Attack
73%
66%
Defence
53%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
84%
Win probability
6%
Home and away record
Aston Villa W
last 4 at home
2W
1D
1L
1.75
points a game
1.75
scored a game
1.75
conceded a game
Birmingham City W
last 6 away from home
1W
1D
4L
0.67
points a game
1.33
scored a game
1.67
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
9 matches.
| Aston Villa W | Birmingham City W | |
|---|---|---|
| 100% 9/9 | Over 1.5 goals | 8/9 89% |
| 44% 4/9 | Over 2.5 goals | 5/9 56% |
| 33% 3/9 | Over 3.5 goals | 4/9 44% |
| 78% 7/9 | Both teams scored | 5/9 56% |
| 22% 2/9 | Kept a clean sheet | 2/9 22% |
| 0% 0/9 | Failed to score | 2/9 22% |
At half time
Aston Villa W
from 9 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
22%
Level
33%
Behind
44%
Birmingham City W
from 9 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
22%
Level
56%
Behind
22%
Match Preview & Analysis
Aston Villa W face Birmingham City W in WSL Cup. Aston Villa W have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 11 and conceding 5 (2.6 points per game). Birmingham City W have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 11 and conceding 7 (1.4 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 69% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 84% probability backing Aston Villa W, home advantage and superior chance creation make Aston Villa W to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 84% win probability for Aston Villa W, a 9% chance of a draw, and a 6% probability for Birmingham City W. Our top recommended betting pick is Aston Villa W Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.35 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Wednesday, 28 Oct 2026 at 19:30 (East Africa Time) at Keys Park as part of the WSL Cup.
