Serie A · Wednesday, 28 Oct 2026
Monza
Home
1-4
Full time
Stadio Brianteo
Napoli
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 1.77
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.32 - 1.73
Win probability
Home
26%
Draw
18%
Away
56%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
53%
1.77
Double Chance
Home/Away
81%
1.16
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
70%
1.34
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
66%
1.42
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
76%
1.24
Goals & trends
70%
Over 2.5
66%
BTTS
76%
Over 1.5
3.05
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Monza wins
0
Draws
0
Napoli wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
46%
Recent form
46%
73%
Attack
73%
40%
Defence
33%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
26%
Win probability
56%
Team news
Monza
- M. Pessina · Knee Injury
- J. Ziolkowski · Foot Injury
- Y. Maye · Muscle Injury
- M. Folorunsho · Coach's decision
- I. Toure · Knee Injury
- L. Lucchesi · Red Card
- E. Zeballos · Knee Injury
- P. Ciurria · Muscle Injury
Napoli
- A. Buongiorno · Jumpers Knee
- Alisson Santos · Muscle Injury
- L. Marianucci · Off the roster
- L. Spinazzola · Thigh Injury
- C. Favasuli · Thigh Injury
- M. Olivera · Muscle Injury
- David Neres · Thigh Injury
- B. Badiashile · Injury
Absences as last reported. Line-ups are confirmed about an hour before kick-off.
Home and away record
Monza
last 7 at home
4W
1D
2L
1.86
points a game
2.71
scored a game
1.86
conceded a game
Napoli
last 5 away from home
1W
1D
3L
0.80
points a game
1.20
scored a game
1.60
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Monza | Napoli | |
|---|---|---|
| 90% 9/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 7/10 70% |
| 80% 8/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 6/10 60% |
| 70% 7/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 4/10 40% |
| 80% 8/10 | Both teams scored | 6/10 60% |
| 20% 2/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 2/10 20% |
| 0% 0/10 | Failed to score | 2/10 20% |
At half time
Monza
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
40%
Level
20%
Behind
40%
Napoli
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
40%
Level
40%
Behind
20%
Match Preview & Analysis
Monza face Napoli in Serie A. Monza have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 11 and conceding 9 (1.4 points per game). Napoli have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 11 and conceding 10 (1.4 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 70% and Both Teams to Score at 66%.
Napoli's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 56% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for Napoli to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 26% win probability for Monza, a 18% chance of a draw, and a 56% probability for Napoli. Our top recommended betting pick is Napoli Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.05 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 66% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Wednesday, 28 Oct 2026 at 19:45 (East Africa Time) at Stadio Brianteo as part of the Serie A.
