Limited match data: this preview is still updating and is not promoted in search until enough form, standings and prediction evidence is available.
DFB Pokal · Wednesday, 28 Oct 2026
Bayer Leverkusen
Home
5-2
Full time
BayArena
1. FC Nürnberg
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.96
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.8 - 1.29
Win probability
Home
46%
Draw
18%
Away
36%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
48%
1.96
Double Chance
Home/Away
81%
1.16
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
73%
1.29
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
69%
1.36
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
78%
1.21
Goals & trends
73%
Over 2.5
69%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.09
Avg goals
Get this match's pick on WhatsApp
Tap, hit send and the bot replies in seconds with the Bayer Leverkusen v 1. FC Nürnberg pick. One VIP pick a week is free.
Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Bayer Leverkusen wins
0
Draws
0
1. FC Nürnberg wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
80%
Recent form
53%
80%
Attack
60%
53%
Defence
53%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
46%
Win probability
36%
Home and away record
Bayer Leverkusen
last 6 at home
6W
0D
0L
3.00
points a game
2.50
scored a game
0.33
conceded a game
1. FC Nürnberg
last 8 away from home
4W
4D
0L
2.00
points a game
3.25
scored a game
1.13
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Bayer Leverkusen | 1. FC Nürnberg | |
|---|---|---|
| 100% 10/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 8/10 80% |
| 70% 7/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 6/10 60% |
| 50% 5/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 5/10 50% |
| 40% 4/10 | Both teams scored | 8/10 80% |
| 50% 5/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/10 10% |
| 10% 1/10 | Failed to score | 1/10 10% |
At half time
Bayer Leverkusen
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
60%
Level
30%
Behind
10%
1. FC Nürnberg
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
30%
Level
60%
Behind
10%
Match Preview & Analysis
Bayer Leverkusen face 1. FC Nürnberg in DFB Pokal. Bayer Leverkusen have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 12 and conceding 7 (2.4 points per game). 1. FC Nürnberg have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 9 and conceding 7 (1.6 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 73% and Both Teams to Score at 69%.
With a 46% probability backing Bayer Leverkusen, home advantage and superior chance creation make Bayer Leverkusen to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 46% win probability for Bayer Leverkusen, a 18% chance of a draw, and a 36% probability for 1. FC Nürnberg. Our top recommended betting pick is Bayer Leverkusen Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.09 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 69% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Wednesday, 28 Oct 2026 at 19:45 (East Africa Time) at BayArena as part of the DFB Pokal.
