League Cup · Wednesday, 28 Oct 2026
Bournemouth
Home
3-0
Full time
Vitality Stadium
Aston Villa
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.92
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.88 - 1.14
Win probability
Home
49%
Draw
22%
Away
29%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
49%
1.92
Double Chance
Home/Draw
71%
1.32
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
62%
1.52
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
60%
1.57
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
72%
1.31
Goals & trends
62%
Over 2.5
60%
BTTS
72%
Over 1.5
3.02
Avg goals
Get this match's pick on WhatsApp
Tap, hit send and the bot replies in seconds with the Bournemouth v Aston Villa pick. One VIP pick a week is free.
Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Bournemouth wins
0
Draws
0
Aston Villa wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
80%
Recent form
80%
80%
Attack
93%
66%
Defence
66%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
49%
Win probability
29%
Home and away record
Bournemouth
last 8 at home
5W
2D
1L
2.13
points a game
3.13
scored a game
0.63
conceded a game
Aston Villa
last 8 away from home
5W
1D
2L
2.00
points a game
1.88
scored a game
1.63
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Bournemouth | Aston Villa | |
|---|---|---|
| 90% 9/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 9/10 90% |
| 80% 8/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 9/10 90% |
| 40% 4/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 7/10 70% |
| 40% 4/10 | Both teams scored | 8/10 80% |
| 50% 5/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 2/10 20% |
| 10% 1/10 | Failed to score | 0/10 0% |
At half time
Bournemouth
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
70%
Level
20%
Behind
10%
Aston Villa
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
60%
Level
30%
Behind
10%
Match Preview & Analysis
Bournemouth face Aston Villa in League Cup. Bournemouth have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 12 and conceding 5 (2.4 points per game). Aston Villa have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 14 and conceding 5 (2.4 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 62% and Both Teams to Score at 60%.
With a 49% probability backing Bournemouth, home advantage and superior chance creation make Bournemouth to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 49% win probability for Bournemouth, a 22% chance of a draw, and a 29% probability for Aston Villa. Our top recommended betting pick is Bournemouth Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.02 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 60% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Wednesday, 28 Oct 2026 at 19:45 (East Africa Time) at Vitality Stadium as part of the League Cup.
