League Cup · Wednesday, 28 Oct 2026
Liverpool
Home
1-1
Full time
Anfield
Chelsea
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.81
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.97 - 1.07
Win probability
Home
53%
Draw
21%
Away
26%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
52%
1.81
Double Chance
Home/Away
78%
1.21
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
62%
1.52
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
60%
1.57
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
72%
1.31
Goals & trends
62%
Over 2.5
60%
BTTS
72%
Over 1.5
3.04
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Liverpool wins
0
Draws
0
Chelsea wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
80%
Recent form
46%
93%
Attack
60%
33%
Defence
46%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
53%
Win probability
26%
Home and away record
Liverpool
last 8 at home
4W
3D
1L
1.88
points a game
1.63
scored a game
1.25
conceded a game
Chelsea
last 5 away from home
2W
1D
2L
1.40
points a game
1.80
scored a game
2.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Liverpool | Chelsea | |
|---|---|---|
| 80% 8/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 10/10 100% |
| 60% 6/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 7/10 70% |
| 30% 3/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 5/10 50% |
| 50% 5/10 | Both teams scored | 6/10 60% |
| 40% 4/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 2/10 20% |
| 20% 2/10 | Failed to score | 2/10 20% |
At half time
Liverpool
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
40%
Level
50%
Behind
10%
Chelsea
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
30%
Level
50%
Behind
20%
Match Preview & Analysis
Liverpool face Chelsea in League Cup. Liverpool have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 14 and conceding 10 (2.4 points per game). Chelsea have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 9 and conceding 8 (1.4 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 62% and Both Teams to Score at 60%.
With a 53% probability backing Liverpool, home advantage and superior chance creation make Liverpool to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 53% win probability for Liverpool, a 21% chance of a draw, and a 26% probability for Chelsea. Our top recommended betting pick is Liverpool Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.04 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 60% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Wednesday, 28 Oct 2026 at 20:00 (East Africa Time) at Anfield as part of the League Cup.
