Major League Soccer · Wednesday, 28 Oct 2026
New York City FC
Home
2-1
Full time
Citi Field
Atlanta United FC
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.54
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.38 - 0.76
Win probability
Home
70%
Draw
18%
Away
12%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
61%
1.54
Double Chance
No tip for this market.
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
69%
1.36
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
69%
Over 1.5
3.14
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
New York City FC wins
0
Draws
0
Atlanta United FC wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
13%
Recent form
40%
26%
Attack
53%
46%
Defence
40%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
70%
Win probability
12%
Home and away record
New York City FC
last 8 at home
1W
3D
4L
0.75
points a game
1.00
scored a game
1.25
conceded a game
Atlanta United FC
last 8 away from home
3W
3D
2L
1.50
points a game
1.63
scored a game
1.50
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| New York City FC | Atlanta United FC | |
|---|---|---|
| 80% 8/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 8/10 80% |
| 30% 3/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 7/10 70% |
| 10% 1/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 5/10 50% |
| 60% 6/10 | Both teams scored | 6/10 60% |
| 20% 2/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 3/10 30% |
| 30% 3/10 | Failed to score | 2/10 20% |
At half time
New York City FC
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
30%
Level
40%
Behind
30%
Atlanta United FC
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
30%
Level
40%
Behind
30%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 |
New York City FC |
34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | +4 | 42 |
| 13 |
Atlanta United FC |
34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | -17 | 33 |
Match Preview & Analysis
New York City FC face Atlanta United FC in Major League Soccer. New York City FC have won 0, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 4 and conceding 8 (0.4 points per game). Atlanta United FC have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 8 and conceding 9 (1.2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 70% probability backing New York City FC, home advantage and superior chance creation make New York City FC to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 70% win probability for New York City FC, a 18% chance of a draw, and a 12% probability for Atlanta United FC. Our top recommended betting pick is New York City FC Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.14 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Wednesday, 28 Oct 2026 at 23:30 (East Africa Time) at Citi Field as part of the Major League Soccer.
