Mineiro - 3 · Saturday, 24 Oct 2026
Venda Nova
Home
1-0
Full time
Venue TBC
Sao Joao del Rei
Away
Recommended tip
Draw @ 2.24
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.54 - 1.14
Win probability
Home
35%
Draw
36%
Away
29%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
X
42%
2.24
Double Chance
Home/Draw
71%
1.32
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
69%
1.36
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
62%
1.52
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
31%
Over 2.5
38%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.68
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Venda Nova wins
0
Draws
0
Sao Joao del Rei wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
66%
Recent form
75%
50%
Attack
58%
83%
Defence
83%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
35%
Win probability
29%
Home and away record
Venda Nova
last 2 at home
2W
0D
0L
3.00
points a game
2.50
scored a game
0.50
conceded a game
Sao Joao del Rei
last 1 away from home
1W
0D
0L
3.00
points a game
4.00
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
4 matches.
| Venda Nova | Sao Joao del Rei | |
|---|---|---|
| 75% 3/4 | Over 1.5 goals | 2/4 50% |
| 50% 2/4 | Over 2.5 goals | 1/4 25% |
| 0% 0/4 | Over 3.5 goals | 1/4 25% |
| 50% 2/4 | Both teams scored | 1/4 25% |
| 50% 2/4 | Kept a clean sheet | 2/4 50% |
| 25% 1/4 | Failed to score | 1/4 25% |
At half time
Venda Nova
from 4 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
25%
Level
75%
Behind
0%
Sao Joao del Rei
from 3 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
67%
Level
33%
Behind
0%
Match Preview & Analysis
Venda Nova face Sao Joao del Rei in Mineiro - 3. Venda Nova have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 4 games, scoring 6 and conceding 2 (2 points per game). Sao Joao del Rei have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 4 games, scoring 7 and conceding 2 (2.25 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 31% and Both Teams to Score at 38%.
With evenly matched metrics (35% vs 29%), tactical discipline from both sides favors a tightly fought stalemate (Match Draw (X)). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 35% win probability for Venda Nova, a 36% chance of a draw, and a 29% probability for Sao Joao del Rei. Our top recommended betting pick is Draw (X).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.68 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 38%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 24 Oct 2026 at 18:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Mineiro - 3.
