Serie A · Thursday, 29 Oct 2026
Frosinone
Home
5-1
Full time
PSC Arena
Lecce
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.45
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.55 - 0.68
Win probability
Home
77%
Draw
14%
Away
8%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
65%
1.45
Double Chance
No tip for this market.
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
61%
1.54
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
72%
1.31
Goals & trends
61%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
72%
Over 1.5
3.23
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Frosinone wins
0
Draws
0
Lecce wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
66%
Recent form
40%
80%
Attack
46%
33%
Defence
40%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
77%
Win probability
8%
Team news
Frosinone
- F. Grillitsch · Thigh Injury
- D. Birligea · Muscle Injury
- F. Ghedjemis · Calf Injury
Lecce
- M. Berisha · Thigh Injury
- W. Geubbels · Muscle Injury
- I. Ilic · Thigh Injury
- L. Coulibaly · Thigh Injury
- S. Pierotti · Ankle Injury
- K. Gaspar · Red Card
- N. Stulic · Muscle Injury
- O. Gandelman · Inactive
Absences as last reported. Line-ups are confirmed about an hour before kick-off.
Home and away record
Frosinone
last 8 at home
5W
1D
2L
2.00
points a game
2.25
scored a game
1.38
conceded a game
Lecce
last 6 away from home
3W
0D
3L
1.50
points a game
1.00
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Frosinone | Lecce | |
|---|---|---|
| 90% 9/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 8/10 80% |
| 60% 6/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 5/10 50% |
| 30% 3/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 2/10 20% |
| 60% 6/10 | Both teams scored | 2/10 20% |
| 20% 2/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 3/10 30% |
| 20% 2/10 | Failed to score | 5/10 50% |
At half time
Frosinone
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
60%
Level
10%
Behind
30%
Lecce
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
30%
Level
10%
Behind
60%
Match Preview & Analysis
Frosinone face Lecce in Serie A. Frosinone have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 12 and conceding 10 (2 points per game). Lecce have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 9 (1.2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 61% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 77% probability backing Frosinone, home advantage and superior chance creation make Frosinone to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 77% win probability for Frosinone, a 14% chance of a draw, and a 8% probability for Lecce. Our top recommended betting pick is Frosinone Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.23 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Thursday, 29 Oct 2026 at 17:30 (East Africa Time) at PSC Arena as part of the Serie A.
