Queensland NPL · Saturday, 18 Jul 2026
Moreton City Excelsior
Home
2-2
Full time
Venue TBC
Peninsula Power
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.92
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.88 - 1.07
Win probability
Home
49%
Draw
24%
Away
26%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
49%
1.92
Double Chance
Home/Draw
73%
1.29
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.95
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Moreton City Excelsior wins
0
Draws
0
Peninsula Power wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
66%
Recent form
66%
66%
Attack
66%
44%
Defence
66%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
49%
Win probability
26%
Home and away record
Moreton City Excelsior
last 1 at home
1W
0D
0L
3.00
points a game
4.00
scored a game
3.00
conceded a game
Peninsula Power
last 3 away from home
2W
0D
1L
2.00
points a game
2.33
scored a game
1.33
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
5 matches.
| Moreton City Excelsior | Peninsula Power | |
|---|---|---|
| 67% 2/3 | Over 1.5 goals | 4/5 80% |
| 67% 2/3 | Over 2.5 goals | 4/5 80% |
| 33% 1/3 | Over 3.5 goals | 3/5 60% |
| 67% 2/3 | Both teams scored | 4/5 80% |
| 33% 1/3 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/5 20% |
| 0% 0/3 | Failed to score | 1/5 20% |
At half time
Moreton City Excelsior
from 3 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
33%
Level
67%
Behind
0%
Peninsula Power
from 5 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
20%
Level
60%
Behind
20%
Match Preview & Analysis
Moreton City Excelsior face Peninsula Power in Queensland NPL. Moreton City Excelsior have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 3 games, scoring 6 and conceding 5 (2 points per game). Peninsula Power have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 10 and conceding 5 (2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 49% probability backing Moreton City Excelsior, home advantage and superior chance creation make Moreton City Excelsior to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 49% win probability for Moreton City Excelsior, a 24% chance of a draw, and a 26% probability for Peninsula Power. Our top recommended betting pick is Moreton City Excelsior Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.95 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 18 Jul 2026 at 06:30 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Queensland NPL.
