League Cup · Thursday, 29 Oct 2026
Everton
Home
3-1
Full time
Hill Dickinson Stadium
Newcastle
Away
Recommended tip
- @ -
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.66 - 1.16
Win probability
Home
40%
Draw
30%
Away
30%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
No tip for this market.
Double Chance
Home/Draw
69%
1.36
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
67%
1.40
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
67%
Over 1.5
2.82
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
1
Everton wins
0
Draws
0
Newcastle wins
12 Aug 2026
Newcastle
1 - 3
Everton
Why this prediction
46%
Recent form
40%
26%
Attack
40%
60%
Defence
33%
95%
Head-to-head
5%
40%
Win probability
30%
Home and away record
Everton
last 6 at home
3W
2D
1L
1.83
points a game
1.17
scored a game
0.83
conceded a game
Newcastle
last 8 away from home
4W
1D
3L
1.63
points a game
1.38
scored a game
1.75
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Everton | Newcastle | |
|---|---|---|
| 70% 7/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 8/10 80% |
| 30% 3/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 6/10 60% |
| 30% 3/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 5/10 50% |
| 30% 3/10 | Both teams scored | 6/10 60% |
| 50% 5/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 3/10 30% |
| 30% 3/10 | Failed to score | 1/10 10% |
At half time
Everton
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
30%
Level
50%
Behind
20%
Newcastle
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
20%
Level
40%
Behind
40%
Match Preview & Analysis
Everton face Newcastle in League Cup. Everton have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 4 and conceding 6 (1.4 points per game). Newcastle have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 6 and conceding 10 (1.2 points per game).
In their last 1 meeting on record, Everton won 1, Newcastle won 0 and 0 ended level. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With evenly matched metrics (40% vs 30%), tactical discipline from both sides favors a tightly fought stalemate (Match outcome). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 40% win probability for Everton, a 30% chance of a draw, and a 30% probability for Newcastle. Our top recommended betting pick is Double Chance / 1X2.
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.82 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Thursday, 29 Oct 2026 at 19:45 (East Africa Time) at Hill Dickinson Stadium as part of the League Cup.
