Serie A · Thursday, 29 Oct 2026
Atletico-MG
Home
0-1
Full time
MRV Arena
Cruzeiro
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 2.00
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.32 - 1.47
Win probability
Home
26%
Draw
30%
Away
44%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
47%
2.00
Double Chance
Draw/Away
74%
1.27
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.54
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
39%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.79
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
1
Atletico-MG wins
1
Draws
0
Cruzeiro wins
02 Sep 2026
Atletico-MG
2 - 1
Cruzeiro
26 Aug 2026
Cruzeiro
1 - 1
Atletico-MG
Why this prediction
60%
Recent form
80%
53%
Attack
80%
60%
Defence
53%
50%
Head-to-head
5%
26%
Win probability
44%
Home and away record
Atletico-MG
last 8 at home
7W
1D
0L
2.75
points a game
2.13
scored a game
0.75
conceded a game
Cruzeiro
last 8 away from home
3W
0D
5L
1.13
points a game
1.88
scored a game
2.13
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Atletico-MG | Cruzeiro | |
|---|---|---|
| 80% 8/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 9/10 90% |
| 60% 6/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 7/10 70% |
| 40% 4/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 5/10 50% |
| 60% 6/10 | Both teams scored | 8/10 80% |
| 30% 3/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 2/10 20% |
| 10% 1/10 | Failed to score | 0/10 0% |
At half time
Atletico-MG
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
30%
Level
50%
Behind
20%
Cruzeiro
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
30%
Level
20%
Behind
50%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 |
Cruzeiro |
34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | +7 | 60 |
| 7 |
Atletico-MG |
34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | +4 | 50 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Atletico-MG face Cruzeiro in Serie A. Atletico-MG have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 8 and conceding 6 (1.8 points per game). Cruzeiro have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 12 and conceding 7 (2.4 points per game).
In their last 2 meetings on record, Atletico-MG won 1, Cruzeiro won 0 and 1 ended level. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 39% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
Cruzeiro's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 44% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for Cruzeiro to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 26% win probability for Atletico-MG, a 30% chance of a draw, and a 44% probability for Cruzeiro. Our top recommended betting pick is Cruzeiro Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.79 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Thursday, 29 Oct 2026 at 22:30 (East Africa Time) at MRV Arena as part of the Serie A.
