Serie A · Friday, 30 Oct 2026
Gremio
Home
2-0
Full time
Arena do Grêmio
Atletico Paranaense
Away
Recommended tip
- @ -
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.66 - 1.16
Win probability
Home
40%
Draw
30%
Away
30%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
No tip for this market.
Double Chance
Draw/Away
66%
1.42
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
69%
1.36
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
69%
Over 1.5
2.82
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Gremio wins
0
Draws
0
Atletico Paranaense wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
40%
Recent form
53%
33%
Attack
60%
60%
Defence
53%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
40%
Win probability
30%
Home and away record
Gremio
last 8 at home
4W
2D
2L
1.75
points a game
1.63
scored a game
1.25
conceded a game
Atletico Paranaense
last 8 away from home
3W
3D
2L
1.50
points a game
1.75
scored a game
1.75
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Gremio | Atletico Paranaense | |
|---|---|---|
| 70% 7/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 10/10 100% |
| 50% 5/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 7/10 70% |
| 40% 4/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 6/10 60% |
| 70% 7/10 | Both teams scored | 9/10 90% |
| 20% 2/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 0/10 0% |
| 20% 2/10 | Failed to score | 1/10 10% |
At half time
Gremio
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
50%
Level
40%
Behind
10%
Atletico Paranaense
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
30%
Level
60%
Behind
10%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 |
Atletico Paranaense |
34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | +8 | 54 |
| 18 |
Gremio |
34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | -9 | 37 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Gremio face Atletico Paranaense in Serie A. Gremio have won 1, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 6 (1.2 points per game). Atletico Paranaense have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 9 and conceding 7 (1.6 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With evenly matched metrics (40% vs 30%), tactical discipline from both sides favors a tightly fought stalemate (Match outcome). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 40% win probability for Gremio, a 30% chance of a draw, and a 30% probability for Atletico Paranaense. Our top recommended betting pick is Double Chance / 1X2.
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.82 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Friday, 30 Oct 2026 at 00:30 (East Africa Time) at Arena do Grêmio as part of the Serie A.
