CONCACAF Central American Cup · Friday, 30 Oct 2026
LD Alajuelense
Home
2-1
Full time
Estadio Alejandro Morera Soto
CD Motagua
Away
Recommended tip
Draw @ 2.29
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.61 - 1.18
Win probability
Home
38%
Draw
31%
Away
31%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
X
41%
2.29
Double Chance
Home/Draw
69%
1.36
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.52
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
38%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.79
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
LD Alajuelense wins
1
Draws
0
CD Motagua wins
23 Oct 2026
CD Motagua
0 - 0
LD Alajuelense
Why this prediction
60%
Recent form
66%
40%
Attack
40%
73%
Defence
86%
5%
Head-to-head
5%
38%
Win probability
31%
Home and away record
LD Alajuelense
last 8 at home
5W
1D
2L
2.00
points a game
1.88
scored a game
0.88
conceded a game
CD Motagua
last 8 away from home
3W
3D
2L
1.50
points a game
1.50
scored a game
0.63
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| LD Alajuelense | CD Motagua | |
|---|---|---|
| 80% 8/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 5/10 50% |
| 50% 5/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 3/10 30% |
| 50% 5/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 0/10 0% |
| 60% 6/10 | Both teams scored | 2/10 20% |
| 30% 3/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 7/10 70% |
| 20% 2/10 | Failed to score | 4/10 40% |
At half time
LD Alajuelense
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
40%
Level
40%
Behind
20%
CD Motagua
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
20%
Level
70%
Behind
10%
Match Preview & Analysis
LD Alajuelense face CD Motagua in CONCACAF Central American Cup. LD Alajuelense have won 2, drawn 3 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 6 and conceding 4 (1.8 points per game). CD Motagua have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 6 and conceding 2 (2 points per game).
In their last 1 meeting on record, LD Alajuelense won 0, CD Motagua won 0 and 1 ended level. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 38% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With evenly matched metrics (38% vs 31%), tactical discipline from both sides favors a tightly fought stalemate (Match Draw (X)). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 38% win probability for LD Alajuelense, a 31% chance of a draw, and a 31% probability for CD Motagua. Our top recommended betting pick is Draw (X).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.79 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Friday, 30 Oct 2026 at 02:00 (East Africa Time) at Estadio Alejandro Morera Soto as part of the CONCACAF Central American Cup.
