Premier League · Friday, 30 Oct 2026
Sheger Ketema
Home
1-2
Full time
Venue TBC
Negelle Arsi
Away
Recommended tip
Draw @ 1.81
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
0.96 - 1.27
Win probability
Home
11%
Draw
54%
Away
35%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
X
52%
1.81
Double Chance
Draw/Away
86%
1.09
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
78%
1.21
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
75%
1.25
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
22%
Over 2.5
25%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.23
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Sheger Ketema wins
0
Draws
0
Negelle Arsi wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
53%
Recent form
53%
33%
Attack
33%
80%
Defence
73%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
11%
Win probability
35%
Home and away record
Sheger Ketema
last 1 at home
1W
0D
0L
3.00
points a game
2.00
scored a game
0.00
conceded a game
Negelle Arsi
last 4 away from home
1W
2D
1L
1.25
points a game
1.00
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
6 matches.
| Sheger Ketema | Negelle Arsi | |
|---|---|---|
| 40% 2/5 | Over 1.5 goals | 4/6 67% |
| 20% 1/5 | Over 2.5 goals | 2/6 33% |
| 20% 1/5 | Over 3.5 goals | 0/6 0% |
| 20% 1/5 | Both teams scored | 1/6 17% |
| 60% 3/5 | Kept a clean sheet | 4/6 67% |
| 40% 2/5 | Failed to score | 2/6 33% |
At half time
Sheger Ketema
from 5 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
40%
Level
40%
Behind
20%
Negelle Arsi
from 6 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
50%
Level
33%
Behind
17%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 |
Negelle Arsi |
3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | +3 | 5 |
| 10 |
Sheger Ketema |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Sheger Ketema face Negelle Arsi in Premier League. Sheger Ketema have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 3 (1.6 points per game). Negelle Arsi have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 4 (1.6 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 22% and Both Teams to Score at 25%.
With evenly matched metrics (11% vs 35%), tactical discipline from both sides favors a tightly fought stalemate (Match Draw (X)). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 11% win probability for Sheger Ketema, a 54% chance of a draw, and a 35% probability for Negelle Arsi. Our top recommended betting pick is Draw (X).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.23 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 25%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Friday, 30 Oct 2026 at 12:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Premier League.
