FAW Championship · Friday, 30 Oct 2026
Baglan Dragons
Home
0-1
Full time
Venue TBC
Treowen Stars
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.84
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.95 - 1.03
Win probability
Home
52%
Draw
24%
Away
24%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
51%
1.84
Double Chance
Home/Draw
75%
1.25
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
67%
1.40
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
67%
Over 1.5
2.98
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Baglan Dragons wins
0
Draws
0
Treowen Stars wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
66%
Recent form
26%
60%
Attack
46%
60%
Defence
40%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
52%
Win probability
24%
Home and away record
Baglan Dragons
last 5 at home
2W
1D
2L
1.40
points a game
1.20
scored a game
1.40
conceded a game
Treowen Stars
last 4 away from home
3W
0D
1L
2.25
points a game
2.50
scored a game
1.50
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Baglan Dragons | Treowen Stars | |
|---|---|---|
| 70% 7/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 9/9 100% |
| 60% 6/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 7/9 78% |
| 20% 2/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 4/9 44% |
| 60% 6/10 | Both teams scored | 7/9 78% |
| 20% 2/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 2/9 22% |
| 20% 2/10 | Failed to score | 0/9 0% |
At half time
Baglan Dragons
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
40%
Level
40%
Behind
20%
Treowen Stars
from 9 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
33%
Level
33%
Behind
33%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 |
Baglan Dragons |
12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | -1 | 17 |
| 8 |
Treowen Stars |
11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | -1 | 16 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Baglan Dragons face Treowen Stars in FAW Championship. Baglan Dragons have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 9 and conceding 6 (2 points per game). Treowen Stars have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 9 (0.8 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 52% probability backing Baglan Dragons, home advantage and superior chance creation make Baglan Dragons to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 52% win probability for Baglan Dragons, a 24% chance of a draw, and a 24% probability for Treowen Stars. Our top recommended betting pick is Baglan Dragons Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.98 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Friday, 30 Oct 2026 at 19:30 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the FAW Championship.
