League Two · Friday, 30 Oct 2026
Newport County
Home
4-1
Full time
Rodney Parade
Chesterfield
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.92
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.88 - 1.14
Win probability
Home
49%
Draw
22%
Away
29%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
49%
1.92
Double Chance
Home/Draw
71%
1.32
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
59%
1.59
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
59%
1.59
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
71%
1.32
Goals & trends
59%
Over 2.5
59%
BTTS
71%
Over 1.5
3.02
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Newport County wins
0
Draws
0
Chesterfield wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
40%
Recent form
53%
40%
Attack
80%
60%
Defence
53%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
49%
Win probability
29%
Home and away record
Newport County
last 8 at home
2W
4D
2L
1.25
points a game
1.38
scored a game
1.75
conceded a game
Chesterfield
last 8 away from home
2W
2D
4L
1.00
points a game
1.13
scored a game
1.38
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Newport County | Chesterfield | |
|---|---|---|
| 50% 5/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 9/10 90% |
| 20% 2/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 6/10 60% |
| 20% 2/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 5/10 50% |
| 40% 4/10 | Both teams scored | 8/10 80% |
| 40% 4/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/10 10% |
| 40% 4/10 | Failed to score | 1/10 10% |
At half time
Newport County
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
30%
Level
40%
Behind
30%
Chesterfield
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
50%
Level
20%
Behind
30%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 |
Chesterfield |
14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | +3 | 19 |
| 14 |
Newport County |
14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | +3 | 18 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Newport County face Chesterfield in League Two. Newport County have won 1, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 6 and conceding 6 (1.2 points per game). Chesterfield have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 12 and conceding 7 (1.6 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 59% and Both Teams to Score at 59%.
With a 49% probability backing Newport County, home advantage and superior chance creation make Newport County to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 49% win probability for Newport County, a 22% chance of a draw, and a 29% probability for Chesterfield. Our top recommended betting pick is Newport County Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.02 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 59% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Friday, 30 Oct 2026 at 19:45 (East Africa Time) at Rodney Parade as part of the League Two.
