FAW Championship · Friday, 30 Oct 2026
Caerphilly Athletic
Home
0-1
Full time
Venue TBC
Caerau (Ely)
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 1.65
Predicted score
1 - 2
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.18 - 1.86
Win probability
Home
20%
Draw
17%
Away
62%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
57%
1.65
Double Chance
No tip for this market.
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
68%
1.38
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
64%
1.47
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
75%
1.25
Goals & trends
68%
Over 2.5
64%
BTTS
75%
Over 1.5
3.04
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Caerphilly Athletic wins
0
Draws
0
Caerau (Ely) wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
60%
Recent form
80%
66%
Attack
80%
40%
Defence
86%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
20%
Win probability
62%
Home and away record
Caerphilly Athletic
last 5 at home
3W
1D
1L
2.00
points a game
1.60
scored a game
1.20
conceded a game
Caerau (Ely)
last 6 away from home
2W
0D
4L
1.00
points a game
1.67
scored a game
2.17
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Caerphilly Athletic | Caerau (Ely) | |
|---|---|---|
| 70% 7/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 9/10 90% |
| 70% 7/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 6/10 60% |
| 50% 5/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 5/10 50% |
| 60% 6/10 | Both teams scored | 5/10 50% |
| 30% 3/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 4/10 40% |
| 20% 2/10 | Failed to score | 1/10 10% |
At half time
Caerphilly Athletic
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
30%
Level
40%
Behind
30%
Caerau (Ely)
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
30%
Level
40%
Behind
30%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 |
Caerau (Ely) |
12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | +3 | 22 |
| 11 |
Caerphilly Athletic |
12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | -6 | 14 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Caerphilly Athletic face Caerau (Ely) in FAW Championship. Caerphilly Athletic have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 10 and conceding 9 (1.8 points per game). Caerau (Ely) have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 12 and conceding 2 (2.4 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 68% and Both Teams to Score at 64%.
Caerau (Ely)'s counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 62% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for Caerau (Ely) to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-2, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 20% win probability for Caerphilly Athletic, a 17% chance of a draw, and a 62% probability for Caerau (Ely). Our top recommended betting pick is Caerau (Ely) Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 2, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.04 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 64% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Friday, 30 Oct 2026 at 19:45 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the FAW Championship.
