Liga 3 · Friday, 30 Oct 2026
Fafe
Home
3-1
Full time
Parque Municipal dos Desportos de Fafe
Pacos Ferreira
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.32
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.81 - 0.57
Win probability
Home
88%
Draw
8%
Away
3%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
71%
1.32
Double Chance
No tip for this market.
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
67%
1.40
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
74%
1.27
Goals & trends
67%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
74%
Over 1.5
3.38
Avg goals
Get this match's pick on WhatsApp
Tap, hit send and the bot replies in seconds with the Fafe v Pacos Ferreira pick. One VIP pick a week is free.
Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
1
Fafe wins
0
Draws
0
Pacos Ferreira wins
29 Aug 2026
Pacos Ferreira
0 - 1
Fafe
Why this prediction
33%
Recent form
53%
46%
Attack
33%
66%
Defence
73%
95%
Head-to-head
5%
88%
Win probability
5%
Home and away record
Fafe
last 5 at home
2W
3D
0L
1.80
points a game
1.80
scored a game
0.60
conceded a game
Pacos Ferreira
last 3 away from home
1W
1D
1L
1.33
points a game
1.33
scored a game
1.33
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Fafe | Pacos Ferreira | |
|---|---|---|
| 60% 6/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 5/10 50% |
| 50% 5/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 3/10 30% |
| 30% 3/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 2/10 20% |
| 40% 4/10 | Both teams scored | 4/10 40% |
| 50% 5/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 3/10 30% |
| 30% 3/10 | Failed to score | 4/10 40% |
At half time
Fafe
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
30%
Level
50%
Behind
20%
Pacos Ferreira
from 9 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
22%
Level
33%
Behind
44%
Match Preview & Analysis
Fafe face Pacos Ferreira in Liga 3. Fafe have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 5 (1 points per game). Pacos Ferreira have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 4 (1.6 points per game).
In their last 1 meeting on record, Fafe won 1, Pacos Ferreira won 0 and 0 ended level. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 67% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 88% probability backing Fafe, home advantage and superior chance creation make Fafe to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 88% win probability for Fafe, a 8% chance of a draw, and a 3% probability for Pacos Ferreira. Our top recommended betting pick is Fafe Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.38 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Friday, 30 Oct 2026 at 20:00 (East Africa Time) at Parque Municipal dos Desportos de Fafe as part of the Liga 3.
