Ligue 1 · Friday, 30 Oct 2026
Lille
Home
1-0
Full time
Stade Pierre-Mauroy
Lens
Away
Recommended tip
- @ -
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.66 - 1.16
Win probability
Home
40%
Draw
30%
Away
30%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
No tip for this market.
Double Chance
Home/Draw
64%
1.47
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
68%
1.38
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
68%
Over 1.5
2.82
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Lille wins
0
Draws
0
Lens wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
33%
Recent form
60%
33%
Attack
46%
40%
Defence
46%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
40%
Win probability
30%
Home and away record
Lille
last 8 at home
4W
2D
2L
1.75
points a game
1.88
scored a game
1.38
conceded a game
Lens
last 6 away from home
2W
1D
3L
1.17
points a game
1.67
scored a game
2.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Lille | Lens | |
|---|---|---|
| 80% 8/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 9/10 90% |
| 50% 5/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 8/10 80% |
| 20% 2/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 3/10 30% |
| 60% 6/10 | Both teams scored | 7/10 70% |
| 30% 3/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 0/10 0% |
| 10% 1/10 | Failed to score | 3/10 30% |
At half time
Lille
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
50%
Level
30%
Behind
20%
Lens
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
30%
Level
20%
Behind
50%
Match Preview & Analysis
Lille face Lens in Ligue 1. Lille have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 9 (1 points per game). Lens have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 8 (1.8 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With evenly matched metrics (40% vs 30%), tactical discipline from both sides favors a tightly fought stalemate (Match outcome). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 40% win probability for Lille, a 30% chance of a draw, and a 30% probability for Lens. Our top recommended betting pick is Double Chance / 1X2.
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.82 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Friday, 30 Oct 2026 at 20:05 (East Africa Time) at Stade Pierre-Mauroy as part of the Ligue 1.
