Serie B · Friday, 30 Oct 2026
Criciuma
Home
2-0
Full time
Estadio Heriberto Hülse
Ponte Preta
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.32
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.84 - 0.54
Win probability
Home
89%
Draw
8%
Away
2%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
71%
1.32
Double Chance
No tip for this market.
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
60%
1.57
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
63%
1.49
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
71%
1.32
Goals & trends
60%
Over 2.5
37%
BTTS
71%
Over 1.5
3.38
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
1
Criciuma wins
0
Draws
0
Ponte Preta wins
09 Jul 2026
Ponte Preta
1 - 2
Criciuma
Why this prediction
60%
Recent form
13%
33%
Attack
26%
80%
Defence
20%
95%
Head-to-head
5%
89%
Win probability
5%
Home and away record
Criciuma
last 8 at home
4W
1D
3L
1.63
points a game
0.75
scored a game
0.75
conceded a game
Ponte Preta
last 8 away from home
0W
0D
8L
0.00
points a game
0.13
scored a game
3.38
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Criciuma | Ponte Preta | |
|---|---|---|
| 70% 7/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 9/10 90% |
| 30% 3/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 3/10 30% |
| 10% 1/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 3/10 30% |
| 20% 2/10 | Both teams scored | 3/10 30% |
| 40% 4/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/10 10% |
| 40% 4/10 | Failed to score | 6/10 60% |
At half time
Criciuma
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
20%
Level
60%
Behind
20%
Ponte Preta
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
30%
Level
0%
Behind
70%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 |
Criciuma |
37 | 18 | 8 | 11 | +7 | 62 |
| 20 |
Ponte Preta |
37 | 3 | 6 | 28 | -58 | 15 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Criciuma face Ponte Preta in Serie B. Criciuma have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 3 (1.8 points per game). Ponte Preta have won 0, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 4 and conceding 12 (0.4 points per game).
In their last 1 meeting on record, Criciuma won 1, Ponte Preta won 0 and 0 ended level. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 60% and Both Teams to Score at 37%.
With a 89% probability backing Criciuma, home advantage and superior chance creation make Criciuma to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 89% win probability for Criciuma, a 8% chance of a draw, and a 2% probability for Ponte Preta. Our top recommended betting pick is Criciuma Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.38 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 37%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Friday, 30 Oct 2026 at 22:30 (East Africa Time) at Estadio Heriberto Hülse as part of the Serie B.
