Segunda División · Sunday, 25 Oct 2026
Aragua FC
Home
3-2
Full time
Estadio Olimpico Hermanos Ghersi Paez
Monagas II
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 2.00
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.47 - 1.47
Win probability
Home
32%
Draw
24%
Away
44%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
47%
2.00
Double Chance
Draw/Away
69%
1.36
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
63%
1.49
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
61%
1.54
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
69%
1.36
Goals & trends
63%
Over 2.5
61%
BTTS
69%
Over 1.5
2.94
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Aragua FC wins
1
Draws
0
Monagas II wins
05 Sep 2026
Monagas II
2 - 2
Aragua FC
Why this prediction
66%
Recent form
66%
80%
Attack
46%
53%
Defence
66%
5%
Head-to-head
5%
32%
Win probability
44%
Home and away record
Aragua FC
last 6 at home
4W
0D
2L
2.00
points a game
1.67
scored a game
0.83
conceded a game
Monagas II
last 5 away from home
2W
2D
1L
1.60
points a game
1.80
scored a game
1.20
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Aragua FC | Monagas II | |
|---|---|---|
| 100% 10/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 8/10 80% |
| 90% 9/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 7/10 70% |
| 50% 5/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 3/10 30% |
| 80% 8/10 | Both teams scored | 7/10 70% |
| 10% 1/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 3/10 30% |
| 10% 1/10 | Failed to score | 0/10 0% |
At half time
Aragua FC
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
40%
Level
20%
Behind
40%
Monagas II
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
40%
Level
50%
Behind
10%
Match Preview & Analysis
Aragua FC face Monagas II in Segunda División. Aragua FC have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 12 and conceding 7 (2 points per game). Monagas II have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 5 (2 points per game).
In their last 1 meeting on record, Aragua FC won 0, Monagas II won 0 and 1 ended level. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 63% and Both Teams to Score at 61%.
Monagas II's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 44% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for Monagas II to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 32% win probability for Aragua FC, a 24% chance of a draw, and a 44% probability for Monagas II. Our top recommended betting pick is Monagas II Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.94 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 61% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Sunday, 25 Oct 2026 at 19:30 (East Africa Time) at Estadio Olimpico Hermanos Ghersi Paez as part of the Segunda División.
