Liga Nacional · Saturday, 31 Oct 2026
Estrella Roja
Home
3-1
Full time
Estadio Marcelo Tinoco
Atletico Independiente
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.49
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.45 - 0.76
Win probability
Home
73%
Draw
15%
Away
12%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
63%
1.49
Double Chance
No tip for this market.
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
66%
1.42
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
58%
1.62
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
74%
1.27
Goals & trends
66%
Over 2.5
58%
BTTS
74%
Over 1.5
3.21
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Estrella Roja wins
0
Draws
0
Atletico Independiente wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
33%
Recent form
33%
46%
Attack
33%
40%
Defence
20%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
73%
Win probability
12%
Home and away record
Estrella Roja
last 5 at home
1W
2D
2L
1.00
points a game
1.80
scored a game
1.60
conceded a game
Atletico Independiente
last 5 away from home
0W
2D
3L
0.40
points a game
0.60
scored a game
1.80
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Estrella Roja | Atletico Independiente | |
|---|---|---|
| 90% 9/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 9/10 90% |
| 70% 7/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 6/10 60% |
| 60% 6/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 3/10 30% |
| 60% 6/10 | Both teams scored | 7/10 70% |
| 10% 1/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/10 10% |
| 30% 3/10 | Failed to score | 3/10 30% |
At half time
Estrella Roja
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
20%
Level
30%
Behind
50%
Atletico Independiente
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
10%
Level
40%
Behind
50%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 |
Estrella Roja |
12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | -1 | 16 |
| 10 |
Atletico Independiente |
12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | -10 | 11 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Estrella Roja face Atletico Independiente in Liga Nacional. Estrella Roja have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 9 (1 points per game). Atletico Independiente have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 12 (1 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 66% and Both Teams to Score at 58%.
With a 73% probability backing Estrella Roja, home advantage and superior chance creation make Estrella Roja to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 73% win probability for Estrella Roja, a 15% chance of a draw, and a 12% probability for Atletico Independiente. Our top recommended betting pick is Estrella Roja Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.21 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 58% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Saturday, 31 Oct 2026 at 01:00 (East Africa Time) at Estadio Marcelo Tinoco as part of the Liga Nacional.
