Third League - Southwest · Saturday, 31 Oct 2026
Chavdar Etropole
Home
4-2
Full time
Venue TBC
Natsional Sofia
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 2.00
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.76 - 1.25
Win probability
Home
44%
Draw
22%
Away
34%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
47%
2.00
Double Chance
Home/Draw
67%
1.40
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
62%
1.52
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
60%
1.57
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
72%
1.31
Goals & trends
62%
Over 2.5
60%
BTTS
72%
Over 1.5
3.01
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Chavdar Etropole wins
0
Draws
0
Natsional Sofia wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
46%
Recent form
26%
26%
Attack
46%
33%
Defence
33%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
44%
Win probability
34%
Home and away record
Chavdar Etropole
last 6 at home
3W
1D
2L
1.67
points a game
1.67
scored a game
1.83
conceded a game
Natsional Sofia
last 6 away from home
1W
1D
4L
0.67
points a game
1.50
scored a game
2.17
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Chavdar Etropole | Natsional Sofia | |
|---|---|---|
| 80% 8/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 10/10 100% |
| 80% 8/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 7/10 70% |
| 70% 7/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 5/10 50% |
| 60% 6/10 | Both teams scored | 7/10 70% |
| 20% 2/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/10 10% |
| 30% 3/10 | Failed to score | 2/10 20% |
At half time
Chavdar Etropole
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
20%
Level
20%
Behind
60%
Natsional Sofia
from 8 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
13%
Level
50%
Behind
38%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 |
Chavdar Etropole |
16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | -17 | 17 |
| 18 |
Natsional Sofia |
15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | -9 | 11 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Chavdar Etropole face Natsional Sofia in Third League - Southwest. Chavdar Etropole have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 4 and conceding 10 (1.4 points per game). Natsional Sofia have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 10 (0.8 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 62% and Both Teams to Score at 60%.
With a 44% probability backing Chavdar Etropole, home advantage and superior chance creation make Chavdar Etropole to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 44% win probability for Chavdar Etropole, a 22% chance of a draw, and a 34% probability for Natsional Sofia. Our top recommended betting pick is Chavdar Etropole Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.01 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 60% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Saturday, 31 Oct 2026 at 12:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Third League - Southwest.
