III Liga - Group 4 · Saturday, 31 Oct 2026
Jarosław
Home
2-2
Full time
Venue TBC
Czarni Połaniec
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.77
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.04 - 1.05
Win probability
Home
56%
Draw
19%
Away
25%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
53%
1.77
Double Chance
Home/Draw
75%
1.25
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
67%
1.40
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
63%
1.49
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
75%
1.25
Goals & trends
67%
Over 2.5
63%
BTTS
75%
Over 1.5
3.09
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
1
Jarosław wins
0
Draws
0
Czarni Połaniec wins
15 Jul 2026
Czarni Połaniec
1 - 4
Jarosław
Why this prediction
20%
Recent form
33%
53%
Attack
33%
26%
Defence
46%
95%
Head-to-head
5%
56%
Win probability
25%
Home and away record
Jarosław
last 8 at home
4W
1D
3L
1.63
points a game
2.63
scored a game
1.75
conceded a game
Czarni Połaniec
last 7 away from home
4W
1D
2L
1.86
points a game
1.29
scored a game
1.14
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Jarosław | Czarni Połaniec | |
|---|---|---|
| 90% 9/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 7/10 70% |
| 80% 8/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 5/10 50% |
| 60% 6/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 2/10 20% |
| 70% 7/10 | Both teams scored | 5/10 50% |
| 20% 2/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 3/10 30% |
| 10% 1/10 | Failed to score | 3/10 30% |
At half time
Jarosław
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
40%
Level
10%
Behind
50%
Czarni Połaniec
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
30%
Level
60%
Behind
10%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 |
Czarni Połaniec |
16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | +3 | 28 |
| 12 |
Jarosław |
16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | +2 | 18 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Jarosław face Czarni Połaniec in III Liga - Group 4. Jarosław have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 5 games, scoring 8 and conceding 11 (0.6 points per game). Czarni Połaniec have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 8 (1 points per game).
In their last 1 meeting on record, Jarosław won 1, Czarni Połaniec won 0 and 0 ended level. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 67% and Both Teams to Score at 63%.
With a 56% probability backing Jarosław, home advantage and superior chance creation make Jarosław to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 56% win probability for Jarosław, a 19% chance of a draw, and a 25% probability for Czarni Połaniec. Our top recommended betting pick is Jarosław Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.09 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 63% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Saturday, 31 Oct 2026 at 12:30 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the III Liga - Group 4.
