1. Liga · Saturday, 31 Oct 2026
Smiltene
Home
1-1
Full time
Venue TBC
Mārupe
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 1.45
Predicted score
1 - 2
Goal expectancy (xG)
0.92 - 2.19
Win probability
Home
9%
Draw
14%
Away
77%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
65%
1.45
Double Chance
No tip for this market.
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
62%
1.52
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
72%
1.31
Goals & trends
62%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
72%
Over 1.5
3.11
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Smiltene wins
0
Draws
1
Mārupe wins
04 Jul 2026
Mārupe
2 - 1
Smiltene
Why this prediction
86%
Recent form
53%
93%
Attack
60%
60%
Defence
46%
5%
Head-to-head
95%
9%
Win probability
77%
Home and away record
Smiltene
last 8 at home
3W
1D
4L
1.25
points a game
2.00
scored a game
3.00
conceded a game
Mārupe
last 6 away from home
2W
1D
3L
1.17
points a game
1.33
scored a game
2.17
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Smiltene | Mārupe | |
|---|---|---|
| 100% 10/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 7/10 70% |
| 90% 9/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 6/10 60% |
| 80% 8/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 5/10 50% |
| 80% 8/10 | Both teams scored | 5/10 50% |
| 10% 1/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 3/10 30% |
| 10% 1/10 | Failed to score | 4/10 40% |
At half time
Smiltene
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
50%
Level
20%
Behind
30%
Mārupe
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
10%
Level
30%
Behind
60%
Match Preview & Analysis
Smiltene face Mārupe in 1. Liga. Smiltene have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 14 and conceding 6 (2.6 points per game). Mārupe have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 9 and conceding 8 (1.6 points per game).
In their last 1 meeting on record, Smiltene won 0, Mārupe won 1 and 0 ended level. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 62% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
Mārupe's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 77% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for Mārupe to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-2, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 9% win probability for Smiltene, a 14% chance of a draw, and a 77% probability for Mārupe. Our top recommended betting pick is Mārupe Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 2, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.11 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 31 Oct 2026 at 13:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the 1. Liga.
