Liga 3 · Saturday, 31 Oct 2026
Leça
Home
2-0
Full time
Estadio do Leca Futebol Clube
Varzim
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.88
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.9 - 1.16
Win probability
Home
50%
Draw
20%
Away
30%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
50%
1.88
Double Chance
Home/Away
79%
1.19
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
68%
1.38
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
65%
1.45
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
75%
1.25
Goals & trends
68%
Over 2.5
65%
BTTS
75%
Over 1.5
3.06
Avg goals
Get this match's pick on WhatsApp
Tap, hit send and the bot replies in seconds with the Leça v Varzim pick. One VIP pick a week is free.
Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Leça wins
0
Draws
0
Varzim wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
80%
Recent form
5%
60%
Attack
33%
86%
Defence
26%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
50%
Win probability
30%
Home and away record
Leça
last 3 at home
1W
1D
1L
1.33
points a game
1.00
scored a game
1.33
conceded a game
Varzim
last 5 away from home
2W
0D
3L
1.20
points a game
1.40
scored a game
1.20
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Leça | Varzim | |
|---|---|---|
| 70% 7/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 7/10 70% |
| 30% 3/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 7/10 70% |
| 10% 1/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 3/10 30% |
| 30% 3/10 | Both teams scored | 7/10 70% |
| 40% 4/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/10 10% |
| 40% 4/10 | Failed to score | 2/10 20% |
At half time
Leça
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
50%
Level
20%
Behind
30%
Varzim
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
50%
Level
10%
Behind
40%
Match Preview & Analysis
Leça face Varzim in Liga 3. Leça have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 9 and conceding 2 (2.4 points per game). Varzim have won 0, drawn 0 and lost 5 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 11 (0 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 68% and Both Teams to Score at 65%.
With a 50% probability backing Leça, home advantage and superior chance creation make Leça to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 50% win probability for Leça, a 20% chance of a draw, and a 30% probability for Varzim. Our top recommended betting pick is Leça Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.06 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 65% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Saturday, 31 Oct 2026 at 15:00 (East Africa Time) at Estadio do Leca Futebol Clube as part of the Liga 3.
