Serie B · Friday, 17 Jul 2026
America Mineiro
Home
1-1
Full time
Arena Independência
Ceara
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.88
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.9 - 0.98
Win probability
Home
50%
Draw
28%
Away
22%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
50%
1.88
Double Chance
Home/Draw
78%
1.21
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.45
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
35%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.88
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
America Mineiro wins
0
Draws
0
Ceara wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
8%
Recent form
11%
8%
Attack
5%
66%
Defence
55%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
50%
Win probability
22%
Home and away record
America Mineiro
last 2 at home
0W
1D
1L
0.50
points a game
0.50
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Ceara
last 2 away from home
0W
0D
2L
0.00
points a game
0.00
scored a game
2.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
4 matches.
| America Mineiro | Ceara | |
|---|---|---|
| 25% 1/4 | Over 1.5 goals | 2/3 67% |
| 0% 0/4 | Over 2.5 goals | 0/3 0% |
| 0% 0/4 | Over 3.5 goals | 0/3 0% |
| 25% 1/4 | Both teams scored | 0/3 0% |
| 0% 0/4 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/3 33% |
| 75% 3/4 | Failed to score | 3/3 100% |
At half time
America Mineiro
from 4 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
25%
Level
50%
Behind
25%
Ceara
from 3 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
33%
Behind
67%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 |
Ceara |
37 | 11 | 10 | 16 | -9 | 43 |
| 19 |
America Mineiro |
37 | 8 | 5 | 24 | -28 | 29 |
Match Preview & Analysis
America Mineiro face Ceara in Serie B. America Mineiro have won 0, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 4 games, scoring 1 and conceding 4 (0.25 points per game). Ceara have won 0, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 3 games, scoring 0 and conceding 4 (0.33 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 35% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 50% probability backing America Mineiro, home advantage and superior chance creation make America Mineiro to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 50% win probability for America Mineiro, a 28% chance of a draw, and a 22% probability for Ceara. Our top recommended betting pick is America Mineiro Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.88 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Friday, 17 Jul 2026 at 22:00 (East Africa Time) at Arena Independência as part of the Serie B.
