Serie B · Friday, 17 Jul 2026
São Bernardo
Home
1-1
Full time
Estádio Primeiro de Maio
Avai
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 2.00
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.83 - 1.09
Win probability
Home
47%
Draw
26%
Away
27%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
47%
2.00
Double Chance
Home/Draw
73%
1.29
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.92
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
São Bernardo wins
0
Draws
0
Avai wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
8%
Recent form
50%
25%
Attack
33%
50%
Defence
66%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
47%
Win probability
27%
Home and away record
São Bernardo
last 2 at home
0W
1D
1L
0.50
points a game
1.00
scored a game
1.50
conceded a game
Avai
last 2 away from home
0W
0D
2L
0.00
points a game
0.50
scored a game
2.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
4 matches.
| São Bernardo | Avai | |
|---|---|---|
| 50% 2/4 | Over 1.5 goals | 2/4 50% |
| 50% 2/4 | Over 2.5 goals | 1/4 25% |
| 25% 1/4 | Over 3.5 goals | 1/4 25% |
| 50% 2/4 | Both teams scored | 1/4 25% |
| 0% 0/4 | Kept a clean sheet | 2/4 50% |
| 50% 2/4 | Failed to score | 1/4 25% |
At half time
São Bernardo
from 4 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
50%
Behind
50%
Avai
from 4 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
50%
Level
25%
Behind
25%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 |
São Bernardo |
37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | +10 | 52 |
| 17 |
Avai |
37 | 11 | 7 | 19 | -12 | 40 |
Match Preview & Analysis
São Bernardo face Avai in Serie B. São Bernardo have won 0, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 4 games, scoring 3 and conceding 6 (0.25 points per game). Avai have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 4 games, scoring 4 and conceding 4 (1.5 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 47% probability backing São Bernardo, home advantage and superior chance creation make São Bernardo to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 47% win probability for São Bernardo, a 26% chance of a draw, and a 27% probability for Avai. Our top recommended betting pick is São Bernardo Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.92 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Friday, 17 Jul 2026 at 22:00 (East Africa Time) at Estádio Primeiro de Maio as part of the Serie B.
