Serie A · Friday, 17 Jul 2026
Mirassol
Home
2-1
Full time
Estádio José Maria de Campos Maia
Gremio
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.42
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.28 - 0.83
Win probability
Home
66%
Draw
19%
Away
15%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
66%
1.42
Double Chance
Home/Draw
85%
1.11
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.11
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Mirassol wins
0
Draws
0
Gremio wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
50%
Recent form
5%
50%
Attack
33%
50%
Defence
5%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
66%
Win probability
15%
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
1 matches.
| Mirassol | Gremio | |
|---|---|---|
| 0% 0/0 | Over 1.5 goals | 1/1 100% |
| 0% 0/0 | Over 2.5 goals | 1/1 100% |
| 0% 0/0 | Over 3.5 goals | 1/1 100% |
| 0% 0/0 | Both teams scored | 1/1 100% |
| 0% 0/0 | Kept a clean sheet | 0/1 0% |
| 0% 0/0 | Failed to score | 0/1 0% |
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 |
Mirassol |
34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | -9 | 40 |
| 18 |
Gremio |
34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | -9 | 37 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Mirassol face Gremio in Serie A. We have no recent results on record for Mirassol. Gremio have won 0, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 1 games, scoring 1 and conceding 3 (0 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 66% probability backing Mirassol, home advantage and superior chance creation make Mirassol to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 66% win probability for Mirassol, a 19% chance of a draw, and a 15% probability for Gremio. Our top recommended betting pick is Mirassol Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.11 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Friday, 17 Jul 2026 at 23:00 (East Africa Time) at Estádio José Maria de Campos Maia as part of the Serie A.
