Primera Nacional · Saturday, 31 Oct 2026
Deportivo Moron
Home
2-0
Full time
Estadio Nuevo Francisco Urbano
Ciudad de Bolívar
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.88
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.9 - 1.03
Win probability
Home
50%
Draw
25%
Away
24%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
50%
1.88
Double Chance
Home/Draw
75%
1.25
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
64%
1.47
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
64%
Over 1.5
2.93
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Deportivo Moron wins
0
Draws
0
Ciudad de Bolívar wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
20%
Recent form
60%
20%
Attack
26%
46%
Defence
73%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
50%
Win probability
24%
Home and away record
Deportivo Moron
last 8 at home
5W
1D
2L
2.00
points a game
2.13
scored a game
1.13
conceded a game
Ciudad de Bolívar
last 8 away from home
3W
0D
5L
1.13
points a game
0.88
scored a game
1.50
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Deportivo Moron | Ciudad de Bolívar | |
|---|---|---|
| 80% 8/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 4/10 40% |
| 60% 6/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 2/10 20% |
| 10% 1/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 1/10 10% |
| 60% 6/10 | Both teams scored | 3/10 30% |
| 10% 1/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 4/10 40% |
| 40% 4/10 | Failed to score | 4/10 40% |
At half time
Deportivo Moron
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
40%
Level
40%
Behind
20%
Ciudad de Bolívar
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
10%
Level
80%
Behind
10%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 |
Deportivo Moron |
35 | 17 | 7 | 11 | +14 | 58 |
| 7 |
Ciudad de Bolívar |
35 | 13 | 12 | 10 | -1 | 51 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Deportivo Moron face Ciudad de Bolívar in Primera Nacional. Deportivo Moron have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 5 games, scoring 3 and conceding 8 (0.6 points per game). Ciudad de Bolívar have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 4 and conceding 4 (1.8 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 50% probability backing Deportivo Moron, home advantage and superior chance creation make Deportivo Moron to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 50% win probability for Deportivo Moron, a 25% chance of a draw, and a 24% probability for Ciudad de Bolívar. Our top recommended betting pick is Deportivo Moron Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.93 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 31 Oct 2026 at 19:00 (East Africa Time) at Estadio Nuevo Francisco Urbano as part of the Primera Nacional.
