Persha Liga · Sunday, 01 Nov 2026
Chernihiv
Home
3-1
Full time
Kolos Stadium
Yarud Mariupol'
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 1.74
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.16 - 1.78
Win probability
Home
19%
Draw
23%
Away
58%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
54%
1.74
Double Chance
Draw/Away
80%
1.18
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
67%
1.40
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
67%
Over 1.5
2.94
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Chernihiv wins
0
Draws
0
Yarud Mariupol' wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
20%
Recent form
86%
53%
Attack
66%
33%
Defence
80%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
19%
Win probability
58%
Home and away record
Chernihiv
last 5 at home
1W
2D
2L
1.00
points a game
1.00
scored a game
1.20
conceded a game
Yarud Mariupol'
last 8 away from home
5W
2D
1L
2.13
points a game
2.13
scored a game
0.75
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Chernihiv | Yarud Mariupol' | |
|---|---|---|
| 70% 7/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 9/10 90% |
| 70% 7/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 5/10 50% |
| 40% 4/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 3/10 30% |
| 70% 7/10 | Both teams scored | 5/10 50% |
| 10% 1/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 4/10 40% |
| 20% 2/10 | Failed to score | 2/10 20% |
At half time
Chernihiv
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
20%
Level
50%
Behind
30%
Yarud Mariupol'
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
50%
Level
30%
Behind
20%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Yarud Mariupol' |
15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | +9 | 28 |
| 15 |
Chernihiv |
12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -6 | 10 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Chernihiv face Yarud Mariupol' in Persha Liga. Chernihiv have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 5 games, scoring 8 and conceding 10 (0.6 points per game). Yarud Mariupol' have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 10 and conceding 3 (2.6 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
Yarud Mariupol''s counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 58% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for Yarud Mariupol' to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 19% win probability for Chernihiv, a 23% chance of a draw, and a 58% probability for Yarud Mariupol'. Our top recommended betting pick is Yarud Mariupol' Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.94 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 01 Nov 2026 at 09:00 (East Africa Time) at Kolos Stadium as part of the Persha Liga.
