Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 · Sunday, 01 Nov 2026
Portugalete
Home
3-3
Full time
Venue TBC
Arosa
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.65
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.19 - 0.81
Win probability
Home
62%
Draw
24%
Away
14%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
57%
1.65
Double Chance
No tip for this market.
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Portugalete wins
0
Draws
0
Arosa wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
53%
Recent form
53%
40%
Attack
53%
60%
Defence
73%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
62%
Win probability
14%
Home and away record
Portugalete
last 5 at home
2W
2D
1L
1.60
points a game
0.80
scored a game
0.60
conceded a game
Arosa
last 4 away from home
0W
3D
1L
0.75
points a game
1.00
scored a game
1.25
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
9 matches.
| Portugalete | Arosa | |
|---|---|---|
| 63% 5/8 | Over 1.5 goals | 7/9 78% |
| 38% 3/8 | Over 2.5 goals | 6/9 67% |
| 13% 1/8 | Over 3.5 goals | 6/9 67% |
| 38% 3/8 | Both teams scored | 5/9 56% |
| 50% 4/8 | Kept a clean sheet | 2/9 22% |
| 38% 3/8 | Failed to score | 3/9 33% |
At half time
Portugalete
from 8 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
88%
Behind
13%
Arosa
from 9 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
22%
Level
44%
Behind
33%
Match Preview & Analysis
Portugalete face Arosa in Segunda División RFEF - Group 1. Portugalete have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 6 and conceding 6 (1.6 points per game). Arosa have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 8 and conceding 4 (1.6 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 62% probability backing Portugalete, home advantage and superior chance creation make Portugalete to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 62% win probability for Portugalete, a 24% chance of a draw, and a 14% probability for Arosa. Our top recommended betting pick is Portugalete Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 01 Nov 2026 at 10:30 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Segunda División RFEF - Group 1.
