Virsliga · Sunday, 01 Nov 2026
FK Liepaja
Home
3-3
Full time
Daugava Stadium
Super Nova
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.68
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.16 - 0.92
Win probability
Home
61%
Draw
20%
Away
19%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
56%
1.68
Double Chance
No tip for this market.
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
61%
1.54
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
72%
1.31
Goals & trends
61%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
72%
Over 1.5
3.08
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
1
FK Liepaja wins
0
Draws
0
Super Nova wins
09 Aug 2026
Super Nova
1 - 2
FK Liepaja
Why this prediction
40%
Recent form
20%
46%
Attack
20%
66%
Defence
26%
95%
Head-to-head
5%
61%
Win probability
19%
Home and away record
FK Liepaja
last 8 at home
4W
2D
2L
1.75
points a game
1.50
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Super Nova
last 7 away from home
3W
1D
3L
1.43
points a game
1.00
scored a game
1.43
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| FK Liepaja | Super Nova | |
|---|---|---|
| 60% 6/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 5/10 50% |
| 60% 6/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 4/10 40% |
| 40% 4/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 1/10 10% |
| 50% 5/10 | Both teams scored | 3/10 30% |
| 40% 4/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 3/10 30% |
| 40% 4/10 | Failed to score | 5/10 50% |
At half time
FK Liepaja
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
40%
Level
40%
Behind
20%
Super Nova
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
10%
Level
60%
Behind
30%
Match Preview & Analysis
FK Liepaja face Super Nova in Virsliga. FK Liepaja have won 1, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 5 (1.2 points per game). Super Nova have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 5 games, scoring 3 and conceding 11 (0.6 points per game).
In their last 1 meeting on record, FK Liepaja won 1, Super Nova won 0 and 0 ended level. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 61% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 61% probability backing FK Liepaja, home advantage and superior chance creation make FK Liepaja to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 61% win probability for FK Liepaja, a 20% chance of a draw, and a 19% probability for Super Nova. Our top recommended betting pick is FK Liepaja Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.08 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 01 Nov 2026 at 11:00 (East Africa Time) at Daugava Stadium as part of the Virsliga.
