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Esiliiga A · Sunday, 01 Nov 2026
Elva
Home
0-0
Full time
Nike Arena
Tallinna Kalev
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.81
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
2 - 1.09
Win probability
Home
54%
Draw
19%
Away
27%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
52%
1.81
Double Chance
Home/Away
80%
1.18
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
67%
1.40
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
64%
1.47
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
75%
1.25
Goals & trends
67%
Over 2.5
64%
BTTS
75%
Over 1.5
3.09
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
1
Elva wins
0
Draws
1
Tallinna Kalev wins
24 Sep 2026
Elva
3 - 2
Tallinna Kalev
15 Aug 2026
Tallinna Kalev
1 - 0
Elva
Why this prediction
40%
Recent form
20%
46%
Attack
60%
33%
Defence
26%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
54%
Win probability
27%
Home and away record
Elva
last 8 at home
5W
3D
0L
2.25
points a game
1.75
scored a game
0.88
conceded a game
Tallinna Kalev
last 8 away from home
3W
0D
5L
1.13
points a game
2.50
scored a game
2.13
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Elva | Tallinna Kalev | |
|---|---|---|
| 60% 6/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 10/10 100% |
| 50% 5/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 9/10 90% |
| 40% 4/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 6/10 60% |
| 40% 4/10 | Both teams scored | 9/10 90% |
| 40% 4/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 0/10 0% |
| 40% 4/10 | Failed to score | 1/10 10% |
At half time
Elva
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
30%
Level
50%
Behind
20%
Tallinna Kalev
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
20%
Level
10%
Behind
70%
Match Preview & Analysis
Elva face Tallinna Kalev in Esiliiga A. Elva have won 1, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 10 (1.2 points per game). Tallinna Kalev have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 5 games, scoring 9 and conceding 11 (0.6 points per game).
In their last 2 meetings on record, Elva won 1, Tallinna Kalev won 1 and 0 ended level. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 67% and Both Teams to Score at 64%.
With a 54% probability backing Elva, home advantage and superior chance creation make Elva to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 54% win probability for Elva, a 19% chance of a draw, and a 27% probability for Tallinna Kalev. Our top recommended betting pick is Elva Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.09 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 64% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Sunday, 01 Nov 2026 at 11:00 (East Africa Time) at Nike Arena as part of the Esiliiga A.
