Mineiro - 3 · Friday, 30 Oct 2026
Nacional AC MG
Home
1-1
Full time
Venue TBC
Venda Nova
Away
Recommended tip
Draw @ 2.24
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.47 - 1.2
Win probability
Home
32%
Draw
35%
Away
32%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
X
42%
2.24
Double Chance
Home/Draw
68%
1.38
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
68%
1.38
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
62%
1.52
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
32%
Over 2.5
38%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.67
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Nacional AC MG wins
1
Draws
0
Venda Nova wins
17 Oct 2026
Nacional AC MG
1 - 1
Venda Nova
Why this prediction
53%
Recent form
73%
40%
Attack
46%
80%
Defence
86%
5%
Head-to-head
5%
32%
Win probability
32%
Home and away record
Nacional AC MG
last 3 at home
2W
1D
0L
2.33
points a game
2.00
scored a game
0.67
conceded a game
Venda Nova
last 2 away from home
0W
2D
0L
1.00
points a game
0.50
scored a game
0.50
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
5 matches.
| Nacional AC MG | Venda Nova | |
|---|---|---|
| 60% 3/5 | Over 1.5 goals | 3/5 60% |
| 40% 2/5 | Over 2.5 goals | 2/5 40% |
| 0% 0/5 | Over 3.5 goals | 0/5 0% |
| 40% 2/5 | Both teams scored | 2/5 40% |
| 40% 2/5 | Kept a clean sheet | 3/5 60% |
| 40% 2/5 | Failed to score | 1/5 20% |
At half time
Nacional AC MG
from 5 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
20%
Level
40%
Behind
40%
Venda Nova
from 5 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
40%
Level
60%
Behind
0%
Match Preview & Analysis
Nacional AC MG face Venda Nova in Mineiro - 3. Nacional AC MG have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 6 and conceding 3 (1.6 points per game). Venda Nova have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 2 (2.2 points per game).
In their last 1 meeting on record, Nacional AC MG won 0, Venda Nova won 0 and 1 ended level. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 32% and Both Teams to Score at 38%.
With evenly matched metrics (32% vs 32%), tactical discipline from both sides favors a tightly fought stalemate (Match Draw (X)). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 32% win probability for Nacional AC MG, a 35% chance of a draw, and a 32% probability for Venda Nova. Our top recommended betting pick is Draw (X).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.67 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 38%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Friday, 30 Oct 2026 at 22:30 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Mineiro - 3.
