Serie D - Girone I · Sunday, 01 Nov 2026
Modica
Home
0-1
Full time
Venue TBC
Gela
Away
Recommended tip
- @ -
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.66 - 1.16
Win probability
Home
40%
Draw
30%
Away
30%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
No tip for this market.
Double Chance
Draw/Away
75%
1.25
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.47
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
59%
1.59
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
36%
Over 2.5
41%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.82
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Modica wins
0
Draws
0
Gela wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
60%
Recent form
46%
60%
Attack
40%
60%
Defence
86%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
40%
Win probability
30%
Home and away record
Modica
last 4 at home
3W
0D
1L
2.25
points a game
1.25
scored a game
0.25
conceded a game
Gela
last 3 away from home
0W
1D
2L
0.33
points a game
1.00
scored a game
1.67
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
9 matches.
| Modica | Gela | |
|---|---|---|
| 44% 4/9 | Over 1.5 goals | 6/8 75% |
| 44% 4/9 | Over 2.5 goals | 4/8 50% |
| 33% 3/9 | Over 3.5 goals | 1/8 13% |
| 22% 2/9 | Both teams scored | 5/8 63% |
| 44% 4/9 | Kept a clean sheet | 3/8 38% |
| 33% 3/9 | Failed to score | 2/8 25% |
At half time
Modica
from 9 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
22%
Level
33%
Behind
44%
Gela
from 8 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
13%
Level
50%
Behind
38%
Match Preview & Analysis
Modica face Gela in Serie D - Girone I. Modica have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 9 and conceding 6 (1.8 points per game). Gela have won 1, drawn 4 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 6 and conceding 2 (1.4 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 36% and Both Teams to Score at 41%.
With evenly matched metrics (40% vs 30%), tactical discipline from both sides favors a tightly fought stalemate (Match outcome). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 40% win probability for Modica, a 30% chance of a draw, and a 30% probability for Gela. Our top recommended betting pick is Double Chance / 1X2.
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.82 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 41%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 01 Nov 2026 at 13:30 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Serie D - Girone I.
